Related papers: Moderate deviations for the Maki--Thompson rumour …

The work concerns deviation estimates for multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. First of all, we prove the large deviation principle for them by the weak convergence approach. Then the central limit theorem for them…

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a…

We consider high temperature KMS states for quantum spin systems on a lattice. We prove a large deviation principle for the distribution of empirical averages $\frac{1}{|\Lambda|} \sum_{i\in\Lambda} X_i$, where the $X_i$'s are copies of a…

In this paper, we study small noise asymptotics of Markov-modulated diffusion processes in the regime that the modulating Markov chain is rapidly switching. We prove the joint sample-path large deviations principle for the Markov-modulated…

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimator of a probability density function and its partial derivatives. Unlike the density estimator, the derivatives estimators exhibit a quadratic…

A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

We analyze the dynamics of moderate fluctuations for macroscopic observables of the random field Curie Weiss model (i.e., standard Curie-Weiss model embedded in a site dependent, i.i.d. random environment). We obtain path space large…

In this article, we discuss the sharp moderate and large deviations between the quantiles of population and the quantiles of samples. Cram\'{e}r type moderate deviations and Bahadur-Rao type large deviations are established with some mild…

We extend previous large deviations results for the randomised Heston model to the case of moderate deviations. The proofs involve the G\"artner-Ellis theorem and sharp large deviations tools.

Bitseki and Delmas (2021) have studied recently the central limit theorem for kernel estimator of invariant density in bifurcating Markov chains models. We complete their work by proving a moderate deviation principle for this estimator.…

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

In this paper, we prove a central limit theorem and estabilish a moderate deviation principle for stochastic models of incompressible second fluids. The weak convergence method inreoduced by [4] plays an important role.

In this paper we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables under martingale-type conditions. Applications to functions of $\phi$-mixing sequences, contracting Markov chains, expanding maps…

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

In this paper, we present sufficient conditions and criteria to establish the large and moderate deviation principle of multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation by means of the weak convergence method.

We prove a moderate deviation principle for subgraph count statistics of Erdos-Renyi random graphs. This is equivalent in showing a moderate deviation principle for the trace of a power of a Bernoulli random matrix. It is done via an…

We consider a collection of fully coupled weakly interacting diffusion processes moving in a two-scale environment. We study the moderate deviations principle of the empirical distribution of the particles' positions in the combined limit…

A finite quantum system evolving unitarily equilibrates in a probabilistic fashion. In the general many-body setting the time-fluctuations of an observable \mathcal{A} are typically exponentially small in the system size. We consider here…

Inspired by the recent work [MRT21], we prove a non-universal non-central Moderate Deviation principle for the nodal length of arithmetic random waves (Gaussian Laplace eigenfunctions on the standard flat torus) both on the whole manifold…