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A pathwise large deviation principle in the Wasserstein topology and a pathwise central limit theorem are proved for the empirical measure of a mean-field system of interacting diffusions. The coefficients are path-dependent. The framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Louis-Pierre Chaintron

This paper is devoted to the mathematical study of some divergences based on the mutual information well-suited to categorical random vectors. These divergences are generalizations of the "entropy distance" and "information distance". Their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rémy Drouilhet , Jean-François Robineau

In the present paper, we consider the moderate deviation principle for the plug-in estimators of a large class of diversity indices on countable alphabets, where the distribution may change with the sample size. Our results cover some of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Zhenhong Yu , Yu Miao

Mutual information (MI) is one of the most general ways to measure relationships between random variables, but estimating this quantity for complex systems is challenging. Denoising diffusion models have recently set a new bar for density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Longxuan Yu , Xing Shi , Xianghao Kong , Tong Jia , Greg Ver Steeg

This work concerns about multiscale multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems. First of all, we use a contractive mapping principle to establish the well-posedness for fully coupled multivalued McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Huijie Qiao

We consider the general branching random walk under minimal assumptions, which in particular guarantee that the empirical particle distribution admits an almost sure central limit theorem. For such a process, we study the large time decay…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Oren Louidor , Eliad Tsairi

The central limit theorem provides the theoretical foundation for the universality of the normal distribution: under broad conditions, the asymptotic distribution of a sum of independent random variables approaches a Gaussian. Yet, physical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-26 Mario Castro , José A. Cuesta

In this article, we prove a joint large deviation principle in $n$ for the \emph{empirical pair measure} and \emph{ empirical offspring measure} of critical multitype Galton-Watson trees conditioned to have exactly $n$ vertices in the weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

We consider the problem of finding, for a given quadratic measure of non-uniformity of a set of $N$ points (such as $L_2$ star-discrepancy or diaphony), the asymptotic distribution of this discrepancy for truly random points in the limit…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-30 Andre van Hameren , Ronald Kleiss , Jiri Hoogland

This work continues the analysis of large deviations for randomly connected neural networks models of the brain. The originality of the model relies on the fact that the directed impact of one particle onto another depends on the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-05 Tanguy Cabana , Jonathan Touboul

We prove a large deviations principle for the empirical law of the block sizes of a uniformly distributed non-crossing partition. As an application we obtain a variational formula for the maximum of the support of a compactly supported…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Janosch Ortmann

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the capacity of the range of random walk in $\mathbb{Z}^5$. Depending on the scale of deviation, we get two different regimes. We observe Gaussian tails when the deviation scale is smaller than…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Arka Adhikari , Jiyun Park

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

In the present paper, we consider the linear autoregressive model in $\rr$, $$ X_{k,n}=\theta_n X_{k,n-1}+\xi_k, k=0,1,...,n, n\ge 1$$ where $\theta_n\in [0,1)$ is unknown, $(\xi_k)_{k\in\zz}$ is a sequence of centered i.i.d. r.v. valued in…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-18 Yu Miao , Yanling Wang , Guangyu Yang

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

In this paper, we study a class of multiscale McKean-Vlasov stochastic systems where the entire system depends on the distribution of the fast component. First of all, by the Poisson equation method we prove that the slow component…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Jie Xiang , Huijie Qiao

The large deviation principle in the small noise limit is derived for solutions of possibly degenerate It\^o stochastic differential equations with predictable coefficients, which may depend also on the large deviation parameter. The result…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-06 Alberto Chiarini , Markus Fischer

We study two problems. First, we consider the large deviation behavior of empirical measures of certain diffusion processes as, simultaneously, the time horizon becomes large and noise becomes vanishingly small. The law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Amarjit Budhiraja , Pavlos Zoubouloglou

For systems in nonequilibrium steady states, a novel modulated Gaussian probability distribution is derived to incorporate a new phenomenon of biased current fluctuations, discovered by recent laboratory experiments and confirmed by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-05-04 Roman Belousov , E. G. D. Cohen

We study the asymptotic behavior of the normalized maxima of real-valued diffusive particles with mean-field drift interaction. Our main result establishes propagation of chaos: in the large population limit, the normalized maxima behave as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Kolliopoulos , Martin Larsson , Zeyu Zhang
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