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Teleconnections between the tropical and the extratropical climates are often considered as a potential source of long-term predictability at seasonal to decadal time scales in the extratropics. This claim is taken up in the present work by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-17 Stephane Vannitsem

Herein we show that the historical records of mid-latitude auroras from 1700 to 1966 present oscillations with periods of about 9, 10-11, 20-21, 30 and 60 years. The same frequencies are found in proxy and instrumental global surface…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-20 Nicola Scafetta

Machine learning (ML) models are successful with weather forecasting and have shown progress in climate simulations, yet leveraging them for useful climate predictions needs exploration. Here we show this feasibility using Neural General…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-18 Gan Zhang , Megha Rao , Janni Yuval , Ming Zhao

We have explored the temporal variability of the seismicity at global scale over the last 124 years, as well as its potential drivers. To achieve this, we constructed and analyzed an averaged global seismicity curve for earthquakes of…

Using data from the literature, we made a list of individual estimates of the solar Galactocentric distance, which were performed after 2017 by different methods. These values have not yet been used to calculate the best value of mean…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-05-19 V. V. Bobylev , A. T. Bajkova

We perform Bayesian inference on historical and late Holocene (last 2000 years) rates of sea-level change. The input data to our model are tide-gauge measurements and proxy reconstructions from cores of coastal sediment. These data are…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-14 Niamh Cahill , Andrew C. Kemp , Benjamin P. Horton , Andrew C. Parnell

Global and regional annual mean temperature data have been analysed by many groups to determine the linear trends of temperature over climatological time scales. The near consistent results generally show an increase of about 0.07 {\deg}C…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-08-23 Kamsali Nagaraja , S. C. Chakravarty

The subject of this paper is the existence and stability of solar cycles with duration in the range of 20-250 years. Five type of data series are used: 1) The Zurich series (1749-2009), the mean annual International sunspot number Ri; 2)…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-07-27 B. Komitov , S. Sello , P. Duchlev , M. Dechev , K. Penev , K. Koleva

This work investigates the solar quasi-periodic cycles with multi-timescales and the possible relationships with planetary motions. The solar cycles are derived from long-term observations of the relative sunspot number and microwave…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-16 Baolin Tan , Zhuo Cheng

We present extensive proper motion measurements of the Crab Nebula made from Canada-France-Hawaii Telescope MegaPrime/MegaCam images taken in 2007, 2016, and 2019. A total of 19974 proper motion vectors with uncertainty…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-10-29 T. Martin , D. Milisavljevic , T. Temim , S. Mandal , P. Duffell , L. Drissen , Z. Ding

We used recently produced Solar System ephemerides, which incorporate two years of ranging observations to the MESSENGER spacecraft, to extract the secular orbital elements for Mercury and associated uncertainties. As Mercury is in a stable…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-07-16 Alexander Stark , Jürgen Oberst , Hauke Hussmann

There are claims that there is correlation between the speed of center of mass of the solar system and the global temperature anomaly. This is partly grounded in data analysis and partly in a priori expectations. The magnitude squared…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Sverre Holm

Global surface temperature records (e.g. HadCRUT4) since 1850 are characterized by climatic oscillations synchronous with specific solar, planetary and lunar harmonics superimposed on a background warming modulation. The latter is related…

Geophysics · Physics 2013-07-16 Nicola Scafetta

It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

There is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea of trying to predict the sea-surface temperature in order to be able to predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Laepple , Stephen Jewson

The variation with time from 1956-2002 of the globally averaged rate of ionization produced by cosmic rays in the atmosphere is deduced and shown to have a cyclic component of period roughly twice the 11 year solar cycle period. Long term…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. D. Erlykin , T. Sloan , A. W. Wolfendale

Using 55 years of daily average temperatures from a local weather station, I made a least-absolute-deviations (LAD) regression model that accounts for three effects: seasonal variations, the 11-year solar cycle, and a linear trend. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-05 Robert J. Vanderbei

We analyzed the combined 142 years sunspot-group data from Greenwich Photoheliograpic Results (GPR) and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) and determined the yearly mean residual rotation rate and the meridional velocity of sunspot…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-22 J. Javaraiah

We report on a systematic center-to-limb variation in measured helioseismic travel times, which must be taken into account for an accurate determination of solar interior meridional flows. The systematic variation, found in time-distance…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Junwei Zhao , Kaori Nagashima , R. S. Bogart , A. G. Kosovichev , T. L. Duvall

We use the corrections to the Newton-Einstein secular precessions of the longitudes of perihelia of some planets (Mercury, Earth, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn) of the Solar System, phenomenologically estimated as solve-for parameters by the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-03-23 Lorenzo Iorio
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