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Santer et al (2008) (S08) compared climate models and observations in the tropical troposphere and reported that "there is no longer a serious discrepancy between modeled and observed trends in tropical lapse rates." They found no…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-18 Stephen McIntyre , Ross McKitrick

Solar activity seems quite understandable when considered on the scales comparable with a solar cycle, i.e. about 11 years, and on a short time scale of about a year. A solar cycle looks basically (anti)symmetric with respect to the solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-08 V. N. Obridko , A. S. Shibalova , D. D. Sokoloff , I. M. Livshits

Ancient mesoamerican cultures built a short ritual 260 day calendar and used it for daily routinary life. Using simple arithmetic calculations it is first shown that by forcing the introduction of the the fundamental number 13 to calculate…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2023-11-27 Sergio Mendoza

All the studies of the interaction between tides and a convective flow assume that the large scale tides can be described as a mean shear flow which is damped by small scale fluctuating convective eddies. The convective Reynolds stress is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-26 Caroline Terquem

Solar irradiance measurements are limited to the last few decades, requiring reconstructions to assess solar variability on longer timescales and its impact on Earth's climate. We present the first physics-based reconstruction of total…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-22 D. Temaj , N. A. Krivova , S. K. Solanki , I. G. Usoskin , T. Chatzistergos

Variations in sea-level, based on tide gauge data (GSLTG) and on combining tide gauges and satellite data (GSLl) are subjected to singular spectrum analysis (SSA), to determine their trends and periodic or quasi-periodic components. GLSTG…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-20 V. Courtillot , JL. Le Mouël , F. Lopes

In this study we used the sea surface temperature (SST), El-Nino southern oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) time-series for the time period 1900-2012 in order to investigate plausible manifestation of sharp increases…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-08 Belolipetsky P. V. , Bartsev S. I. , Degermendzhi A. G. , Huang-Hsiung Hsu , Varotsos C. A.

Tropical monsoons play a critical role in shaping regional and global climate systems, with profound ecological and socio-economic impacts. However, their long-term prediction remains challenging due to the complex interplay of regional…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-24 Guanghao Ran , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Although the discovery of the chaotic motion of the inner planets in the solar system dates back to more than thirty years ago, the secular chaos of their orbits still dares more analytical analyses. Apart from the high-dimensional…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-03 Federico Mogavero , Jacques Laskar

Analytical and numerical calculations show that a putative temporal variation of the speed of light c, with the meaning of space-time structure constant c_ST, assumed to be linear over timescales of about one century, would induce a secular…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-12-10 Lorenzo Iorio

In the previous study (Hiremath 2006a), the solar cycle is modeled as a forced and damped harmonic oscillator and from all the 22 cycles (1755-1996), long-term amplitudes, frequencies, phases and decay factor are obtained. Using these…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. M. Hiremath

We examine an 11-year data set from the tropical weather station of Tlaxcala, Mexico. We find that mutual information drops quickly with the delay, to a positive value which relaxes to zero with a time scale of 20 days. We also examine the…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-22 H. Waelbroeck

The subject of this paper is the existence and stability of solar cycles with durations in the range of 20-250 years. Five types of data series are used: 1) The Zurich series (1749-2009 AD), the mean annual International sunspot number Ri,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-12-14 Boris Komitov , Stefano Sello , Peter Duchlev , Momchil Dechev , Kaloyan Penev , Kostadinka Koleva

The fourteen glitches observed during 33 years do not show the simple pattern expected from a relaxation oscillator. They may however be regarded as three major events separated by about 12 years, the third being a group of smaller…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Graham Smith , C. Jordan

\textbf{Scaling formulas were} deduced to describe the relations between the fundamental stellar parameters and the mean \textbf{linewidth and lifetime} of solar-like oscillations of stars. The mean \textbf{linewidth and} lifetime of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-05 Wuming Yang

The estimate of the change rate of the solar gravitational parameter $\mathrm{d}(GM_{\odot})/\mathrm{d}t$ is obtained from processing modern positional observations of planets and spacecraft. Observations were processed and parameters were…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-01-25 E. V. Pitjeva , N. P. Pitjev , D. A. Pavlov , C. C. Turygin

With the assumption of radial motion and uniform longitudinal distribution of coronal mass ejections (CMEs), we propose a method to eliminate projection effects from the apparent observed CME latitude distribution. This method has been…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Song Wenbin , Feng Xueshang , Hu Yanqi

Based on analysis of the annual averaged relative sunspot number (ASN) during 1700 -- 2009, 3 kinds of solar cycles are confirmed: the well-known 11-yr cycle (Schwabe cycle), 103-yr secular cycle (numbered as G1, G2, G3, and G4,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-09 Baolin Tan

The level of solar magnetic activity, as exemplified by the number of sunspots and by energetic events in the corona, varies on a wide range of time scales. Most prominent is the 11-year solar cycle, which is significantly modulated on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-26 Robert Cameron , Manfred Schüssler

This paper introduces a new structure of commutative semiring, generalizing the tropical semiring, and having an arithmetic that modifies the standard tropical operations, i.e. summation and maximum. Although our framework is combinatorial,…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2010-08-02 Zur Izhakian