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In recent years, there has been significant progress in the development of fully data-driven global numerical weather prediction models. These machine learning weather prediction models have their strength, notably accuracy and low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Massimo Bonavita

The International Ocean Model Benchmarking (IOMB) software package is a new community resource used here to evaluate surface and upper ocean variables from CMIP5 and CMIP6 Earth System Models (ESMs) Our analysis reveals general improvement…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-01 Weiwei Fu , J. Keith Moore , Francois Primeau , Nathan Collier , Oluwaseun O. Ogunro , Forrest M. Hoffman , James T. Randerson

In the spirit of minimal modeling of complex systems, we develop an idealized two-column model to investigate the climate of tidally locked terrestrial planets with Earth-like atmospheres in the habitable zone of M-dwarf stars. The model is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Jun Yang , Dorian S. Abbot

At low densities the standard ionisation history of the intergalactic medium (IGM) predicts a decreasing temperature of the IGM with decreasing density once hydrogen (and helium) reionisation is complete. Heating the high-redshift,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-25 A. Rorai , G. D. Becker , M. G. Haehnelt , R. F. Carswell , J. S. Bolton , S. Cristiani , V. D'Odorico , G. Cupani , P. Barai , F. Calura , T. -S. Kim , E. Pomante , E. Tescari , M. Viel

Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are an essential tool for analysing regional climate change impacts as they provide simulations with more small-scale details and expected smaller errors than global climate models. There has been much effort…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-24 Ernesto Pasten-Zapata , Julie Jones , Helen Moggridge , Martin Widmann

Sea ice plays a crucial role in the climate system, particularly in the Marginal Ice Zone (MIZ), a transitional area consisting of fragmented ice between the open ocean and consolidated pack ice. As the MIZ expands, understanding its…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-31 Changhong Mou , Samuel N. Stechmann , Nan Chen

Simulating abundances of stable water isotopologues, i.e. molecules differing in their isotopic composition, within climate models allows for comparisons with proxy data and, thus, for testing hypotheses about past climate and validating…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Jonathan Wider , Jakob Kruse , Nils Weitzel , Janica C. Bühler , Ullrich Köthe , Kira Rehfeld

Two extreme flood-inducing precipitation events in two cities in Mali, on 08 August 2012 in San (127 mm) and on 25 August 2019 in Kenieba (126 mm), are investigated with respect to rainfall structures, dynamical forcings, and the ability of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-28 Souleymane Sanogo , Marlon Maranan , Andreas H. Fink , Beth J. Woodhams , Peter Knippertz

We introduce AIFS-COMPO, a skilful medium-range data-driven global forecasting system for aerosols and reactive gases. Building on the ECMWF Artificial Intelligence Forecast System (AIFS), AIFS-COMPO employs a transformer-based…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Paula Harder , Johannes Flemming , Mihai Alexe , Gert Mertes , Baudouin Raoult , Matthew Chantry

Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

The Ghil-Sellers energy balance model of Earth's climate, features -- for a considerable range of the solar intensity -- two stable climate states (a warm and a cold snowball Earth), where the bistability results from the celebrated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Tamas Bodai , Valerio Lucarini , Frank Lunkeit , Robert Boschi

A variety of approximate schemes for modelling the low-density Intergalactic Medium (IGM) in the high-redshift Universe is compared to the results of a large high-resolution hydro-dynamical simulation. These schemes use either an analytical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-07-19 M. Viel , S. Matarrese , H. J. Mo , Tom Theuns , M. G. Haehnelt

During the last two years, tremendous progress in global data-driven weather models trained on numerical weather prediction (NWP) re-analysis data has been made. The most recent models trained on the ERA5 at 0.25{\deg} resolution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-06 John Bjørnar Bremnes , Thomas N. Nipen , Ivar A. Seierstad

To identify promising exoplanets for atmospheric characterization and to make the best use of observational data, a thorough understanding of their atmospheres is needed. 3D general circulation models (GCMs) are one of the most…

We compare five general circulation models (GCMs) which have been recently used to study hot extrasolar planet atmospheres (BOB, CAM, IGCM, MITgcm, and PEQMOD), under three test cases useful for assessing model convergence and accuracy.…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Inna Polichtchouk , James Y-K. Cho , Chris Watkins , Heidar Thor Thrastarson , Orkan M. Umurhan , Manuel de la Torre Juarez

Sea ice plays an important role in stabilising the Earth system. Yet, representing its dynamics remains a major challenge for models, as the underlying processes are scale-invariant and highly anisotropic. This poses a dilemma:…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-13 Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Pierre Rampal , Charlotte Durand , Flavia Porro , Alban Farchi , Alberto Carrassi

The application of models to assess the risk of the physical impacts of weather and climate and their subsequent consequences for society and business is of the utmost importance in our changing climate. The operation of such models is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Blair Edwards , Paolo Fraccaro , Nikola Stoyanov , Nelson Bore , Julian Kuehnert , Kommy Weldemariam , Anne Jones

AI-based methods have revolutionized atmospheric forecasting, with recent successes in medium-range forecasting spurring the development of climate foundation models. Accurate modeling of complex atmospheric dynamics at high spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Deifilia Kieckhefen , Markus Götz , Lars H. Heyen , Achim Streit , Charlotte Debus

Cloud processes are the largest source of uncertainty in quantifying the global temperature response to carbon dioxide rise. Still, the role of precipitation efficiency (PE) -- surface rain per unit column -- integrated condensation -- is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-22 Ryan Li , Joshua Studholme , Alexey Fedorov , Trude Storelvmo

This paper proposes a novel framework for fusing multi-temporal, multispectral satellite images and OpenStreetMap (OSM) data for the classification of local climate zones (LCZs). Feature stacking is the most commonly-used method of data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Guichen Zhang , Pedram Ghamisi , Xiao Xiang Zhu
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