Related papers: Tail Bounds via Southwest Boundary

Probabilistic recurrence relations (PRRs) are a standard formalism for describing the runtime of a randomized algorithm. Given a PRR and a time limit $\kappa$, we consider the classical concept of tail probability $\Pr[T \ge \kappa]$, i.e.,…

We revisit and refine known tail inequalities and confidence bounds for the hypergeometric distribution, i.e., for the setting where we sample without replacement from a fixed population with binary values or properties. The results are…

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

This work derives extremal tail bounds for the Gaussian trace estimator applied to a real symmetric matrix. We define a partial ordering on the eigenvalues, so that when a matrix has greater spectrum under this ordering, its estimator will…

Let f be a Hecke-Maass or holomorphic primitive cusp form for $SL(2,\mathbb{Z})$ with Fourier coefficients $\lambda_{f}(n)$. Let $\chi$ be a primitive Dirichlet character of modulus p, where p is a prime number. In this article we prove the…

We consider the upper and lower tail probabilities for the centered (by time$/24$) and scaled (according to KPZ time$^{1/3}$ scaling) one-point distribution of the Cole-Hopf solution of the KPZ equation when started with initial data drawn…

We give upper and lower bounds on the largest singular value of a matrix using analogues to walks in graphs. For nonnegative matrices these bounds are asymptotically tight. In particular, we improve a bound due to I. Schur.

Motivated by applications requiring quantile estimates for very small probabilities of exceedance, this article addresses estimation of high quantiles for probabilities bounded by powers of sample size with exponents below -1. As regularity…

We present a proof of an upper tail bound of the correct order (up to a constant factor in the exponent) in two classes of stationary models in the KPZ universality class. The proof is based on an exponential identity due to Rains in the…

We prove deviation inequalities for sums of high-dimensional random matrices and operators with dependence and {\rc heavy tails}. Estimation of high-dimensional matrices is a concern for numerous modern applications. However, most results…

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Consider a binary mixture model of the form $F_\theta = (1-\theta)F_0 + \theta F_1$, where $F_0$ is standard Gaussian and $F_1$ is a completely specified heavy-tailed distribution with the same support. For a sample of $n$ independent and…

We investigate the properties of a discrete-time martingale $\{X_m\}_{m\in \mathbb Z_{\geq 0}}$, where all differences between adjacent random variables are limited to be not more than a constant as a promise. In this situation, it is known…

Let $\mathbf{R}$ be the sample correlation matrix constructed from $\mathbf{X}\in \mathbb{R}^{p\times n}$, whose entries are independent and identically distributed random variables with mean zero and tail probability condition…

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

Finite sample properties of random covariance-type matrices have been the subject of much research. In this paper we focus on the "lower tail" of such a matrix, and prove that it is subgaussian under a simple fourth moment assumption on the…

Let $f$ be a cuspidal eigenform (holomorphic or Maass) on the full modular group $SL(2, \mathbb{Z})$ . Let $\chi$ be a primitive character of modulus $P$. We shall prove the following results: 1. Suppose $P = p^r$, where $p$ is a prime and…

The probability that the sum of independent, centered, identically distributed, heavy-tailed random variables achieves a very large value is asymptotically equal to the probability that there exists a single summand equalling that value. We…

We consider the large deviations at the order of the variance for the central value of a family of $L$-functions among the members with bounded discriminant. When there is an upper bound on an integer moment of the central value twisted by…

We study the problem of computing the tightest upper and lower bounds on the probability that the sum of $n$ dependent Bernoulli random variables exceeds an integer $k$. Under knowledge of all pairs of bivariate distributions denoted by a…