Related papers: Tail Bounds via Southwest Boundary

We estimate double sums $$ S_\chi(a, I, G) = \sum_{x \in I} \sum_{\lambda \in G} \chi(x + a\lambda), \qquad 1\le a < p-1, $$ with a multiplicative character $\chi$ modulo $p$ where $I= \{1,\ldots, H\}$ and $G$ is a subgroup of order $T$ of…

For a $SL(2,\mathbb{Z})$ form $f$, we obtain the sub-Weyl bound \begin{equation*} L(1/2+it,f)\ll_{f,\varepsilon} t^{1/3-\delta+\varepsilon}, \end{equation*} where $\delta=1/174$, thereby crossing the Weyl barrier for the first time beyond…

We derive a general upper bound for the number of incidences with $k$-dimensional varieties in ${\mathbb R}^d$. The leading term of this new bound generalizes previous bounds for the special cases of $k=1, k=d-1,$ and $k= d/2$, to every…

We study the Excluded Grid Theorem, a fundamental structural result in graph theory, that was proved by Robertson and Seymour in their seminal work on graph minors. The theorem states that there is a function $f: \mathbb{Z}^+ \to…

We give a method for producing explicit bounds on $g(p)$, the least primitive root modulo $p$. Using our method we show that $g(p)<2r\,2^{r\omega(p-1)}\,p^{\frac{1}{4}+\frac{1}{4r}}$ for $p>10^{56}$ where $r\geq 2$ is an integer parameter.…

Let $X_{1},\ldots ,X_{n}$ be $n$ real-valued dependent random variables. With motivation from Mitra and Resnick (2009), we derive the tail asymptotic expansion for the weighted sum of order statistics $X_{1:n}\leq \cdots \leq X_{n:n}$ of…

We consider probability measures on the real line or unit circle with Jacobi or Verblunsky coefficients satisfying an $\ell^p$ condition and a generalized bounded variation condition. This latter condition requires that a sequence can be…

Let $\zeta = \xi + i\xi'$ where $\xi, \xi'$ are iid copies of a mean zero, variance one, subgaussian random variable. Let $N_n$ be a $n \times n$ random matrix with entries that are iid copies of $\zeta$. We prove that there exists a $c \in…

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Probabilities of causation (PoCs) are fundamental quantities for counterfactual analysis and personalized decision making. However, existing analytical results are largely confined to binary settings. This paper extends PoCs to multi-valued…

This paper investigates the asymptotics of the number of prime values taken by a polynomial in several variables with integer coefficients. Based on probabilistic heuristics and the multidimensional Bateman Horn conjecture, the expected…

We develop an efficient simulation algorithm for computing the tail probabilities of the infinite series $S = \sum_{n \geq 1} a_n X_n$ when random variables $X_n$ are heavy-tailed. As $S$ is the sum of infinitely many random variables, any…

In this paper, we prove that an $n\times n$ matrix $A$ with independent centered subgaussian entries satisfies \[ s_{n+1-l}(A) \le C_1t \frac{l}{\sqrt{n}} \] with probability at least $1-\exp(-C_2tl)$. This yields $s_{n-l}(A) \sim…

Understanding the generalization properties of heavy-tailed stochastic optimization algorithms has attracted increasing attention over the past years. While illuminating interesting aspects of stochastic optimizers by using heavy-tailed…

We give a sharp lower bound on the capacity of a real stable polynomial, depending only on the value of its gradient at $x = 1$. This result implies a sharp improvement to a similar inequality proved by Linial-Samorodnitsky-Wigderson in…

Using a method we have utilized previously, namely through a finite power series expansion which also sometimes is known as the "radix polynomial" representation of an integer, we find an upper bound for a van der Waerden number that has a…

We consider certain Fibonacci-like sequences $(X_n)_{n\geq 0}$ perturbed with a random noise. Our main result is that $\frac{1}{X_n}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}X_k$ converges in distribution, as $n$ goes to infinity, to a random variable $W$ with…

This note presents absolute bounds on the size of the coefficients of the characteristic and minimal polynomials depending on the size of the coefficients of the associated matrix. Moreover, we present algorithms to compute more precise…

A random vector $X$ with representation $X=\sum_{j\geq0}A_jZ_j$ is considered. Here, $(Z_j)$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random vectors and $(A_j)$ is a sequence of random matrices, `predictable' with respect to…

We present a new bound on $A = \max_n |a_{pqr}(n)|$, where $a_{pqr}(n)$ are the coefficients of a ternary cyclotomic polynomial. We also prove that two consecutive coefficients of such a polynomial differ by at most one.