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A Tight Bound of Tail Probabilities for a Discrete-time Martingale with Uniformly Bounded Jumps

Probability 2019-05-16 v1 Quantum Physics

Abstract

We investigate the properties of a discrete-time martingale {Xm}mZ0\{X_m\}_{m\in \mathbb Z_{\geq 0}}, where all differences between adjacent random variables are limited to be not more than a constant as a promise. In this situation, it is known that the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality holds, which gives an upper bound of a probability for exceptional events. The inequality gives a simple form of the upper bound, and it has been utilized for many investigations. However, the inequality is not tight. We give an explicit expression of a tight upper bound, and we show that it and the bound obtained from the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality have different asymptotic behaviors.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1905.06003,
  title  = {A Tight Bound of Tail Probabilities for a Discrete-time Martingale with Uniformly Bounded Jumps},
  author = {Go Kato},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1905.06003},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

10pages,2 figures