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Related papers: The realized copula of volatility

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We study the estimation of leverage effect and volatility of volatility by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps. We first construct spot volatility estimator by using the empirical characteristic function of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Wang Zhou

We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process. The proposed test is based on high-frequency data and is robust to market microstructure frictions. For the test, local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Markus Bibinger , Lars Winkelmann

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Let $(X_1,Y_1),\ldots,(X_n,Y_n)$ be an i.i.d. sample from a bivariate distribution function that lies in the max-domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. The asymptotic joint distribution of the standardized component-wise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-03 Sami Umut Can , John H. J. Einmahl , Estate V. Khmaladze , Roger J. A. Laeven

We develop theory leading to testing procedures for the presence of a change point in the intraday volatility pattern. The new theory is developed in the framework of Functional Data Analysis. It is based on a model akin to the stochastic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-19 Piotr Kokoszka , Tim Kutta , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

An approach to the modelling of volatile time series using a class of uniformity-preserving transforms for uniform random variables is proposed. V-transforms describe the relationship between quantiles of the stationary distribution of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Alexander J. McNeil

The study of dependence between random variables is the core of theoretical and applied statistics. Static and dynamic copula models are useful for describing the dependence structure, which is fully encrypted in the copula probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Dominque Guégan , Matteo Iacopini

When modeling the distribution of a multivariate continuous random vector using the so-called \emph{copula approach}, it is not uncommon to have ties in the coordinate samples of the available data because of rounding or lack of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-07 Ivan Kojadinovic

This paper is concerned with the estimation of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model of the following form: $dX_t=a_tdt+\sigma_tdW_t$, where $X$ denotes the log-price and $\sigma$ is a c\`adl\`ag semi-martingale. In the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 A. Alvarez , F. Panloup , M. Pontier , N. Savy

We revisit the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cram\'er-von Mises goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and propose a generalisation to identically distributed, but dependent univariate random variables. We show that the dependence leads to a reduction of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Remy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Multiscale stochastic volatility models have been developed as an efficient way to capture the principle effects on derivative pricing and portfolio optimization of randomly varying volatility. The recent book Fouque, Papanicolaou, Sircar…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-17 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Matthew Lorig , Ronnie Sircar

We consider the problem of testing the parametric form of the volatility for high frequency data. It is demonstrated that in the presence of microstructure noise commonly used tests do not keep the preassigned level and are inconsistent.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

In this paper, we are interested in testing if the volatility process is constant or not during a given time span by using high-frequency data with the presence of jumps and microstructure noise. Based on estimators of integrated volatility…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-16 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu , Chuanhai Zhang

The empirical copula process plays a central role for statistical inference on copulas. Recently, Segers (2011) investigated the asymptotic behavior of this process under non-restrictive smoothness assumptions for the case of i.i.d. random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-14 Axel Bücher , Stanislav Volgushev

The Gaussian graphical model is routinely employed to model the joint distribution of multiple random variables. The graph it induces is not only useful for describing the relationship between random variables but also critical for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Thien-Minh Le , Ping-Shou Zhong , Chenlei Leng

We study the weak convergence of conditional empirical copula processes, when the conditioning event has a nonzero probability. The validity of several bootstrap schemes is stated, including the exchangeable bootstrap. We define general -…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-16 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

The discrepancy between realized volatility and the market's view of volatility has been known to predict individual equity options at the monthly horizon. It is not clear how this predictability depends on a forecast's ability to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Austin Pollok