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We study the optimization of the expected long-term reward in finite partially observable Markov decision processes over the set of stationary stochastic policies. In the case of deterministic observations, also known as state aggregation,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Mareike Dressler , Marina Garrote-López , Guido Montúfar , Johannes Müller , Kemal Rose

In this paper, we study a Markov chain-based stochastic gradient algorithm in general Hilbert spaces, aiming at approximating the optimal solution of a quadratic loss function. We establish probabilistic upper bounds on its convergence. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Priyanka Roy , Susanne Saminger-Platz

Approximate Bayesian computation methods are useful for generative models with intractable likelihoods. These methods are however sensitive to the dimension of the parameter space, requiring exponentially increasing resources as this…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-09 Grégoire Clarté , Christian P. Robert , Robin Ryder , Julien Stoehr

The Gibbs sampler (GS) is a crucial algorithm for approximating complex calculations, and it is justified by Markov chain theory, the alternating projection theorem, and $I$-projection, separately. We explore the equivalence between these…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-15 Kun-Lin Kuo , Yuchung J. Wang

This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Pietro Caputo , Zongchen Chen , Yuzhou Gu , Yury Polyanskiy

The performance of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers heavily depends on the tuning of the Markov kernels used in the path proposal. For SMC samplers with unadjusted Markov kernels, standard tuning objectives, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Kyurae Kim , Zuheng Xu , Jacob R. Gardner , Trevor Campbell

We consider Markov chains on general state spaces in stationary random environment which are defined by a random mapping that is contractive up to a bounded perturbation. We prove their convergence to a limiting law, providing convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi , Lionel Truquet

We review and provide new proofs of results used to compare the efficiency of estimates generated by reversible MCMC algorithms on a general state space. We provide a full proof of the formula for the asymptotic variance for real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Geoffrey T. Salmon , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We propose a greedy mixture reduction algorithm which is capable of pruning mixture components as well as merging them based on the Kullback-Leibler divergence (KLD). The algorithm is distinct from the well-known Runnalls' KLD based method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-25 Tohid Ardeshiri , Umut Orguner , Emre Özkan

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of density of $n$ independent observations, under the assumption that it is well approximated by a mixture with a large number of components. The main focus is on statistical properties with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mehdi Sebbar

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has gained popularity over the past few years for the analysis of complex models arising in population genetic, epidemiology and system biology. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approaches have become work…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-16 Sarah Filippi , Chris Barnes , Julien Cornebise , Michael P. H. Stumpf

We propose a method to fuse posterior distributions learned from heterogeneous datasets. Our algorithm relies on a mean field assumption for both the fused model and the individual dataset posteriors and proceeds using a simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Sebastian Claici , Mikhail Yurochkin , Soumya Ghosh , Justin Solomon

We provide a new method to approximate a (possibly discontinuous) function using Christoffel-Darboux kernels. Our knowledge about the unknown multivariate function is in terms of finitely many moments of the Young measure supported on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Swann Marx , Edouard Pauwels , Tillmann Weisser , Didier Henrion , Jean Lasserre

While pseudospectral (PS) methods can feature very high accuracy, they tend to be severely limited in terms of geometric flexibility. Application of global radial basis functions overcomes this, however at the expense of problematic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-09 Pankaj K Mishra , Sankar K Nath , Gregor Kosec , Mrinal K Sen

Bayesian optimization relies on iteratively constructing and optimizing an acquisition function. The latter turns out to be a challenging, non-convex optimization problem itself. Despite the relative importance of this step, most algorithms…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-22 Yilin Xie , Shiqiang Zhang , Joel A. Paulson , Calvin Tsay

We present a data-driven method for computing approximate forward reachable sets using separating kernels in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We frame the problem as a support estimation problem, and learn a classifier of the support as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Adam J. Thorpe , Kendric R. Ortiz , Meeko M. K. Oishi

A central challenge in Bayesian inference is efficiently approximating posterior distributions. Stein Variational Gradient Descent (SVGD) is a popular variational inference method which transports a set of particles to approximate a target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Moritz Melcher , Simon Weissmann , Ashia C. Wilson , Jakob Zech

Motivated by decentralized approaches to machine learning, we propose a collaborative Bayesian learning algorithm taking the form of decentralized Langevin dynamics in a non-convex setting. Our analysis show that the initial KL-divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Anjaly Parayil , He Bai , Jemin George , Prudhvi Gurram

Generalized Gibbs kernels are those that may take any direction not necessarily bounded to each axis along the parameters of the objective function. We study how to optimally choose such directions in a Directional, random scan, Gibbs…