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Manual HVAC fault diagnosis in commercial buildings takes 8-12 hours per incident and achieves only 60 percent diagnostic accuracy, reflecting analytics that stop at correlation instead of causation. To close this gap, we present GRID…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Taqiya Ehsan , Shuren Xia , Jorge Ortiz

Real world systems evolve in continuous-time according to their underlying causal relationships, yet their dynamics are often unknown. Existing approaches to learning such dynamics typically either discretize time -- leading to poor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Nicholas Tagliapietra , Katharina Ensinger , Christoph Zimmer , Osman Mian

Bearing fault detection is a critical task in predictive maintenance, where accurate and timely fault identification can prevent costly downtime and equipment damage. Traditional attention mechanisms in Transformer neural networks often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Marzieh Mirzaeibonehkhater , Mohammad Ali Labbaf-Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

A common theme in causal inference is learning causal relationships between observed variables, also known as causal discovery. This is usually a daunting task, given the large number of candidate causal graphs and the combinatorial nature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-11 Romain Lopez , Jan-Christian Hütter , Jonathan K. Pritchard , Aviv Regev

Constraint-based methods and noise-based methods are two distinct families of methods proposed for uncovering causal graphs from observational data. However, both operate under strong assumptions that may be challenging to validate or could…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Daria Bystrova , Charles K. Assaad , Julyan Arbel , Emilie Devijver , Eric Gaussier , Wilfried Thuiller

Learning the unique directed acyclic graph corresponding to an unknown causal model is a challenging task. Methods based on functional causal models can identify a unique graph, but either suffer from the curse of dimensionality or impose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Sujai Hiremath , Jacqueline R. M. A. Maasch , Mengxiao Gao , Promit Ghosal , Kyra Gan

Anomaly detection in continuous-time dynamic graphs is an emerging field yet under-explored in the context of learning algorithms. In this paper, we pioneer structured analyses of link-level anomalies and graph representation learning for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tim Poštuvan , Claas Grohnfeldt , Michele Russo , Giulio Lovisotto

Insider threat detection (ITD) is challenging due to the subtle and concealed nature of malicious activities performed by trusted users. This paper proposes a post-hoc ITD framework that integrates explicit and implicit graph…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Rahul Yumlembam , Biju Issac , Seibu Mary Jacob , Longzhi Yang , Deepa Krishnan

Most of the existing algorithms for traffic speed forecasting split spatial features and temporal features to independent modules, and then associate information from both dimensions. However, features from spatial and temporal dimensions…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yi Xie , Yun Xiong , Yangyong Zhu

Even when the causal graph underlying our data is unknown, we can use observational data to narrow down the possible values that an average treatment effect (ATE) can take by (1) identifying the graph up to a Markov equivalence class; and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Shantanu Gupta , David Childers , Zachary C. Lipton

Climate-vulnerable road networks require a paradigm shift from reactive, fix-on-failure repairs to predictive, decision-ready maintenance. This paper introduces ST-ResGAT, a novel Spatio-Temporal Residual Graph Attention Network that fuses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Mohsin Mahmud Topu , Azmine Toushik Wasi , Mahfuz Ahmed Anik , MD Manjurul Ahsan

Synthetic data generation becomes prevalent as a solution to privacy leakage and data shortage. Generative models are designed to generate a realistic synthetic dataset, which can precisely express the data distribution for the real…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Bingyang Wen , Luis Oliveros Colon , K. P. Subbalakshmi , R. Chandramouli

Causal discovery between collections of time-series data can help diagnose causes of symptoms and hopefully prevent faults before they occur. However, reliable causal discovery can be very challenging, especially when the data acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Haonan Chen , Bo Yuan Chang , Mohamed A. Naiel , Georges Younes , Steven Wardell , Stan Kleinikkink , John S. Zelek

This paper introduces a new causal structure learning method for nonstationary time series data, a common data type found in fields such as finance, economics, healthcare, and environmental science. Our work builds upon the constraint-based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-10 Agathe Sadeghi , Achintya Gopal , Mohammad Fesanghary

Accurate and reliable prediction has profound implications to a wide range of applications. In this study, we focus on an instance of spatio-temporal learning problem--traffic prediction--to demonstrate an advanced deep learning model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Pingping Dong , Xiao-Lin Wang , Indranil Bose , Kam K. H. Ng , Xiaoning Zhang , Xiaoge Zhang

Seizure detection from EEGs is a challenging and time consuming clinical problem that would benefit from the development of automated algorithms. EEGs can be viewed as structural time series, because they are multivariate time series where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Ian Covert , Balu Krishnan , Imad Najm , Jiening Zhan , Matthew Shore , John Hixson , Ming Jack Po

Disentangling complex causal relationships is important for accurate detection of anomalies. In multivariate time series analysis, dynamic interactions among data variables over time complicate the interpretation of causal relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Wonah Kim , Jeonghyeon Park , Dongsan Jun , Jungkyu Han , Sejin Chun

Understanding the factors that trigger or prevent undesirable health outcomes across patient subpopulations is essential for designing targeted interventions. While randomized controlled trials and expert-led patient interviews are standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Shishir Adhikari , Guido Muscioni , Mark Shapiro , Plamen Petrov , Elena Zheleva

Preventing machine failure is inherently superior to reactive remediation, particularly for critical assets like gas turbines, where early fault detection (FD) is a cornerstone of industrial sustainability. However, modern deep…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Ali Bagheri Nejad , Mahdi Aliyari-Shoorehdeli , Abolfazl Hasanzadeh

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker