English

GRID: Graph-based Reasoning for Intervention and Discovery in Built Environments

Machine Learning 2025-09-23 v1 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Manual HVAC fault diagnosis in commercial buildings takes 8-12 hours per incident and achieves only 60 percent diagnostic accuracy, reflecting analytics that stop at correlation instead of causation. To close this gap, we present GRID (Graph-based Reasoning for Intervention and Discovery), a three-stage causal discovery pipeline that combines constraint-based search, neural structural equation modeling, and language model priors to recover directed acyclic graphs from building sensor data. Across six benchmarks: synthetic rooms, EnergyPlus simulation, the ASHRAE Great Energy Predictor III dataset, and a live office testbed, GRID achieves F1 scores ranging from 0.65 to 1.00, with exact recovery (F1 = 1.00) in three controlled environments (Base, Hidden, Physical) and strong performance on real-world data (F1 = 0.89 on ASHRAE, 0.86 in noisy conditions). The method outperforms ten baseline approaches across all evaluation scenarios. Intervention scheduling achieves low operational impact in most scenarios (cost <= 0.026) while reducing risk metrics compared to baseline approaches. The framework integrates constraint-based methods, neural architectures, and domain-specific language model prompts to address the observational-causal gap in building analytics.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2509.16397,
  title  = {GRID: Graph-based Reasoning for Intervention and Discovery in Built Environments},
  author = {Taqiya Ehsan and Shuren Xia and Jorge Ortiz},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.16397},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T05:46:38.713Z