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Real-time prediction of signals is a task often encountered in control problems as well as by living systems. Here a model-free prediction approach based on the coupling of a linear relaxation-delay system to a smooth, stationary signal is…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-07-29 Henning U. Voss

When complex systems are driven to extinction by some external factor, their non-stationary dynamics can present an intermittent behaviour between relative tranquility and burst of activity whose consequences are often catastrophic. To…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-03-21 Juan V Escobar , Isaac Pérez Castillo

The objective of this paper is to study the dynamical behaviour systematically of an ecological system with Beddington-DeAngelis functional response which avoids the criticism occurred in the case of ratio-dependent functional response at…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-01-21 Sahabuddin Sarwardi , Md. Reduanur Mandal , Nurul Huda Gazi

Noise-induced phase transitions are common in various complex systems, from physics to biology. In this article, we investigate the emergence of crucial events in noise-induced phase transition processes and their potential significance for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-28 Jacob D. Baxley , David R. Lambert , Mauro Bologna , Bruce J. West , Paolo Grigolini

The time-dependent relaxation of a dynamical system may exhibit a power-law behavior that is superimposed by log-periodic oscillations. Sornette [Phys. Rep. 297, 239 (1998)] showed that this behavior can be explained by a discrete scale…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-11-21 Emanuel Dorbath , Adnan Gulzar , Gerhard Stock

Predicting critical transitions in complex systems, such as epileptic seizures in the brain, represents a major challenge in scientific research. The high-dimensional characteristics and hidden critical signals further complicate…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-03 Xiaoai Xu , Yixuan Zhou , Xiang Zhou , Jingqiao Duan , Ting Gao

In this paper, conformal fractional order discretization [20, 24, 25] is used to analyze bifurcation analysis and stability of a predator-prey system. A continuous model has been discretized into a discrete one while preserving the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Muhammad Rafaqat , Abubakar Masha , Nauman Ahmed , Ali Raza , Wojciech Sumelka

The stationary and highly non-stationary resonant dynamics of the harmonically forced pendulum are described in the framework of a semi-inverse procedure combined with the Limiting Phase Trajectory concept. This procedure, implying only…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-04-25 Leonid I. Manevitch , Valeri V. Smirnov , Francesco Romeo

It is tested whether past abrupt climate changes support the validity of statistical early-warning signals (EWS) as predictor of future climate tipping points. EWS are expected increases in amplitude and correlation of fluctuations driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-27 Johannes Lohmann

Most of the time series in nature are a mixture of signals with deterministic and random dynamics. Thus the distinction between these two characteristics becomes important. Distinguishing between chaotic and aleatory signals is difficult…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-09-13 D. M. Mateos , L. Riveaud , P. W. Lamberti

We theoretically study divergent fluctuations of dynamical events at non-ergodic transitions. We first focus on the finding that a non-ergodic transition can be described as a saddle connection bifurcation of an order parameter for a time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Mami Iwata , Shin-ichi Sasa

Bifurcations are one of the most remarkable features of dynamical systems. Corral et al. [Sci. Rep. 8(11783), 2018] showed the existence of scaling laws describing the transient (finite-time) dynamics in discrete dynamical systems close to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-31 Alvaro Corral

We examine examples of weakly nonlinear systems whose steady states undergo a bifurcation with increasing forcing, such that a forced subsystem abruptly ceases to absorb additional energy, instead diverting it into an initially quiescent,…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-05-15 H. G. Wood , A. Roman , J. A. Hanna

The analysis on stability and bifurcations in the macroscopic dynamics exhibited by the system of two coupled large populations comprised of $N$ stochastic excitable units each is performed by studying an approximate system, obtained by…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-11 I. Franovic , K. Todorovic , N. Vasovic , N. Buric

We consider the rates of noise-induced switching between the stable states of dissipative dynamical systems with delay and also the rates of noise-induced extinction, where such systems model population dynamics. We study a class of systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ira B. Schwartz , Lora Billings , Thomas W. Carr , Mark Dykman

A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

The climate is a complex non-equilibrium dynamical system that relaxes toward a steady state under the continuous input of solar radiation and dissipative mechanisms. The steady state is not necessarily unique. A useful tool to describe the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Maura Brunetti , Charline Ragon

Approaching a dangerous bifurcation, from which a dynamical system such as the Earth's climate will jump (tip) to a different state, the current stable state lies within a shrinking basin of attraction. Persistence of the state becomes…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Jan Sieber , J. Michael T. Thompson

We present a numerical method for learning unknown nonautonomous stochastic dynamical system, i.e., stochastic system subject to time dependent excitation or control signals. Our basic assumption is that the governing equations for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

We investigate the dynamics of dissipative systems with stochastic forcing and focus in particular on mean-square stability. First we show, under a natural condition on the drift and diffusion, that the stochastic system is mean-square…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 C. Kelly , G. J. Lord , M. Ptashnyk , S. Sonner