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Whereas the importance of transient dynamics to the functionality and management of complex systems has been increasingly recognized, most of the studies are based on models. Yet in realistic situations the models are often unknown and what…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-10-25 Huawei Fan , Liang Wang , Yao Du , Yafeng Wang , Jinghua Xiao , Xingang Wang

In a common experimental setting, the behaviour of a noisy dynamical system is monitored in response to manipulations of one or more control parameters. Here, we introduce a structured model to describe parametric changes in qualitative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Gergo Bohner , Maneesh Sahani

We study identifiability in continuous-time linear stationary stochastic differential equations with known causal structure. Unlike existing approaches, we relax the assumption of a known diffusion matrix, thereby respecting the model's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Gijs van Seeventer , Saber Salehkaleybar

Sustained oscillations in power systems are dangerous. There are various mechanisms, for instance, limit cycle and forced oscillation, that may lead to sustained oscillations, which nevertheless are hard to differentiate. In this paper, a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-28 Qinye Tang , Xiaozhe Wang

Living systems have time-evolving interactions that, until recently, could not be identified accurately from recorded time series in the presence of noise. Stankovski et al. (Phys. Rev. Lett. 109 024101, 2012) introduced a method based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-14 Andrea Duggento , Tomislav Stankovski , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

This review synthesizes recent advancements in understanding tipping points and cascading transitions within the Earth system, framing them through the lens of nonlinear dynamics and complexity science. It outlines the fundamental concepts…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Sheng Fang , Ziyan Wang , Jürgen Kurths , Jingfang Fan

We investigate how nonlinear behaviour (both of forcing in time and of the system itself) can affect the skill of early warning signals to predict tipping in (directionally) coupled bistable systems when using measures based on critical…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-06-04 Peter Ashwin , Robbin Bastiaansen , Anna S. von der Heydt , Paul Ritchie

The coexistence of an abnormal rhythm and a normal steady state is often observed in nature (e.g., epilepsy). Such a system is modeled as a bistable oscillator that possesses both a limit cycle and a fixed point. Although bistable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-01-07 Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori

The early-time critical dynamics of continuous, Ising-like phase transitions is studied numerically for two-dimensional lattices of coupled chaotic maps. Emphasis is laid on obtaining accurate estimates of the dynamic critical exponents…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-30 Philippe Marcq , Hugues Chate

The work reported here aims to address the effects of time-dependent parameters and stochasticity on decision-making in biological systems. We achieve this by extending previous studies that resorted to simple normal forms. Yet, we focus…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-29 Nuno R. Nené , James Rivington , Alexey Zaikin

Abrupt transitions are ubiquitous in the dynamics of complex systems. Finding precursors, i.e. early indicators of their arrival, is fundamental in many areas of science ranging from electrical engineering to climate. However, obtaining…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-15 Victor Rodriguez-Mendez , Victor M. Eguiluz , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia , Jose J. Ramasco

We study an excitable active rotator with slowly adapting nonlinear feedback and noise. Depending on the adaptation and the noise level, this system may display noise-induced spiking, noise-perturbed oscillations, or stochastic busting. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-08-26 Igor Franović , Serhiy Yanchuk , Sebastian Eydam , Iva Bačić , Matthias Wolfrum

Noise-induced transitions between metastable fixed points in systems evolving on multiple time scales are analyzed in situations where the time scale separation gives rise to a slow manifold with bifurcation. This analysis is performed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-05 Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Noise plays a fundamental role in a wide variety of physical and biological dynamical systems. It can arise from an external forcing or due to random dynamics internal to the system. It is well established that even weak noise can result in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Eric Forgoston , Richard O. Moore

In order to investigate the evolutionary process of many deterministic Dynamical systems with unfixed parameter, a set of dynamical models with parameter changing continuously and the accumulation of this change might be large is introduced…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 H. P. Fang

Changes in the parameters of dynamical systems can cause the state of the system to shift between different qualitative regimes. These shifts, known as bifurcations, are critical to study as they can indicate when the system is about to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Sunia Tanweer , Firas A. Khasawneh , Elizabeth Munch , Joshua R. Tempelman

We present the numerical estimation of noise parameter induced in the dynamics of the variables by random particle interactions involved in the stochastic chemical oscillator and use it as order parameter to detect the transition from…

Computational Physics · Physics 2011-09-02 R. K. Brojen Singh

In this work we identify and investigate a novel bifurcation in conserved systems. This secondary bifurcation stops active phase separation in its nonlinear regime. It is then either replaced by an extended, system-filling, spatially…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2022-02-22 Frederik J. Thomsen , Lisa Rapp , Fabian Bergmann , Walter Zimmermann

We study a discrete non-autonomous system whose autonomous counterpart (with the frozen bifurcation parameter) admits a saddle-node bifurcation, and in which the bifurcation parameter slowly changes in time and is characterized by a sweep…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Jay Chu , Jun-Jie Lin , Je-Chiang Tsai

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos