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This paper studies alpha testing in a high-dimensional conditional time-varying factor model with temporally dependent observations. Both factor loadings and alpha processes are allowed to vary smoothly over time, and the cross-sectional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Long Feng , Huifang Ma , Zhaojun Wang

In this paper we consider the problem of multiple testing when the hypotheses are dependent. In most of the existing literature, either Bayesian or non-Bayesian, the decision rules mainly focus on the validity of the test procedure rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-10 Noirrit K. Chandra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Testing equality of mean vectors is a very commonly used criterion when comparing two multivariate random variables. Traditional tests such as Hotelling's T-squared become either unusable or output small power when the number of variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Santu Ghosh , Deepak Nag Ayyala , Rafael Hellebuyck

Methods are developed for eliciting a Dirichlet prior based upon bounds on the individual probabilities that hold with virtual certainty. This approach to selecting a prior is applied to a contingency table problem where it is demonstrated…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-10 Michael Evans , Irwin Guttman , Peiying Li

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

We address the challenge of certifying quantum behavior with single macroscopic massive particles, subject to decoherence and finite data. We propose a hypothesis testing framework that distinguishes between classical and quantum mechanics…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Andreu Riera-Campeny , Patrick Maurer , Oriol Romero-Isart

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

Scientific experiments study interventions that show evidence of an effect size that is meaningfully large, negligibly small, or inconclusively broad. Previously, we proposed contra-analysis as a decision-making process to help determine…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Bruce A. Corliss , Yaotian Wang , Heman Shakeri , Philip E. Bourne

Simultaneous inference allows for the exploration of data while deciding on criteria for proclaiming discoveries. It was recently proved that all admissible post-hoc inference methods for true discoveries must employ closed testing. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Jinjin Tian , Xu Chen , Eugene Katsevich , Jelle Goeman , Aaditya Ramdas

A unified framework is proposed for tests of unobserved heterogeneity in parametric statistic models based on Neyman's $C(\alpha)$ approach. Such tests are irregular in the sense that the first order derivative of the log likelihood with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-07 Jiaying Gu

In contrast to its common definition and calculation, interpretation of p-values diverges among statisticians. Since p-value is the basis of various methodologies, this divergence has led to a variety of test methodologies and evaluations…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-27 Tomokazu Konishi

Plausibility is a formalization of exact tests for parametric models and generalizes procedures such as Fisher's exact test. The resulting tests are based on cumulative probabilities of the probability density function and evaluate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Stefan Böhringer , Dietmar Lohmann

Experiments deliver credible treatment-effect estimates but, because they are costly, are often restricted to specific sites, small populations, or particular mechanisms. A common practice across several fields is therefore to combine…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-30 Aristotelis Epanomeritakis , Davide Viviano

We present a statistical test that can be used to verify supervisory requirements concerning overlapping time windows for the long-term calibration in rating systems. In a first step, we show that the long-run default rate is approximately…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-25 Patrick Kurth , Max Nendel , Jan Streicher

Measuring dependence between two events, or equivalently between two binary random variables, amounts to expressing the dependence structure inherent in a $2\times 2$ contingency table in a real number between $-1$ and $1$. Countless such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Marc-Oliver Pohle , Timo Dimitriadis , Jan-Lukas Wermuth

Bell tests---the experimental demonstration of a Bell inequality violation---are central to understanding the foundations of quantum mechanics, underpin quantum technologies, and are a powerful diagnostic tool for technological developments…

We study how to combine p-values and e-values, and design multiple testing procedures where both p-values and e-values are available for every hypothesis. Our results provide a new perspective on multiple testing with data-driven weights:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Bell's inequality sets a strict threshold for how strongly correlated the outcomes of measurements on two or more particles can be, if the outcomes of each measurement are independent of actions undertaken at arbitrarily distant locations.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-05-24 David I. Kaiser

Hypothesis testing in high dimensional data is a notoriously difficult problem without direct access to competing models' likelihood functions. This paper argues that statistical divergences can be used to quantify the difference between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-02 Jeremy J. H. Wilkinson , Christopher G. Lester

Classification and clustering are both important topics in statistical learning. A natural question herein is whether predefined classes are really different from one another, or whether clusters are really there. Specifically, we may be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-22 Qiyi Lu , Xingye Qiao