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In this note we prove sharp lower error bounds for numerical methods for jump-diffusion stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discontinuous drift. We study the approximation of jump-diffusion SDEs with non-adaptive as well as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Verena Schwarz , Michaela Szölgyenyi

We propose a new semiparametric approach for modelling nonlinear univariate diffusions, where the observed process is a nonparametric transformation of an underlying parametric diffusion (UPD). This modelling strategy yields a general class…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-08 Ruijun Bu , Kaddour Hadri , Dennis Kristensen

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

This paper presents a novel one-factor stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous volatility of the asset log-return is a diffusion with a quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function. The instantaneous volatility mean reverts…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-21 Peter Carr , Sander Willems

We propose a new statistical observation scheme of diffusion processes named convolutional observation, where it is possible to deal with smoother observation than ordinary diffusion processes by considering convolution of diffusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Shogo H Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

The drift diffusion model (DDM) is a model of sequential sampling with diffusion (Brownian) signals, where the decision maker accumulates evidence until the process hits a stopping boundary, and then stops and chooses the alternative that…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-12 Drew Fudenberg , Whitney K. Newey , Philipp Strack , Tomasz Strzalecki

We propose an online parametric estimation method of stochastic differential equations with discrete observations and misspecified modelling based on online gradient descent. Our study provides uniform upper bounds for the risks of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Shogo Nakakita

The subject of this paper is the problem of nonparametric estimation of a continuous distribution function from observations with measurement errors. We study minimax complexity of this problem when unknown distribution has a density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-27 I. Dattner , A. Goldenshluger , A. Juditsky

We investigate the problem of joint statistical estimation of several parameters for a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional Brownian motion. Based on discrete-time observations of the model, we construct an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-10 El Mehdi Haress , Alexandre Richard

The problem of determining a periodic Lipschitz vector field $b=(b_1, \dots, b_d)$ from an observed trajectory of the solution $(X_t: 0 \le t \le T)$ of the multi-dimensional stochastic differential equation \begin{equation*} dX_t =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-21 Richard Nickl , Kolyan Ray

We discuss the distribution of various estimators for extracting the diffusion constant of single Brownian trajectories obtained by fitting the squared displacement of the trajectory. The analysis of the problem can be framed in terms of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Denis Boyer , David S. Dean

We consider a process $X^\ve$ that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, $K\_0(u)=c u^{\alpha-1/2} \id{u>0}$ with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a multidimensional diffusion X with drift coefficient b({\alpha},X(t)) and diffusion coefficient {\epsilon}{\sigma}({\beta},X(t)). The diffusion is discretely observed at times t_k=k{\Delta} for k=1..n on a fixed interval [0,T].…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-17 Romain Guy , Catherine Laredo , Elisabeta Vergu

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu

This article is concerned with the fluctuation analysis and the stability properties of a class of one-dimensional Riccati diffusions. These one-dimensional stochastic differential equations exhibit a quadratic drift function and a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Adrian N. Bishop , Pierre Del Moral , Kengo Kamatani , Bruno Remillard

Subordinate diffusions are constructed by time changing diffusion processes with an independent L\'{e}vy subordinator. This is a rich family of Markovian jump processes which exhibit a variety of jump behavior and have found many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Weiwei Guo , Lingfei Li

The problem of eliminating fast-relaxing variables to obtain an effective drift-diffusion process in position is solved in a uniform and straightforward way for models with velocity a function jointly of position and fast variables. A more…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-13 Paul E. Lammert

This paper provides a new characterization of the stochastic invariance of a closed subset of R^d with respect to a diffusion. We extend the well-known inward pointing Stratonovich drift condition to the case where the diffusion matrix can…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Bruno Bouchard , Camille Illand , Eduardo Jaber

We study a discrete denoising diffusion framework that integrates a sample-efficient estimator of single-site conditionals with round-robin noising and denoising dynamics for generative modeling over discrete state spaces. Rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov

We study nonparametric estimation of the diffusion coefficient from discrete data, when the observations are blurred by additional noise. Such issues have been developed over the last 10 years in several application fields and in particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Marc Hoffmann , Axel Munk , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber