Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : trajectory fitting method
Statistics Theory
2026-05-21 v2 Statistics Theory
Abstract
We consider a process that solves a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular, and includes as an example, with . It is assumed that the diffusion coefficient is proportional to . From an observation of the path , we construct a Trajectory Fitting Estimator, which is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal. We also specify identifiability conditions insuring the convergence of the estimator.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2503.03347,
title = {Drift estimation for rough processes under small noise asymptotic : trajectory fitting method},
author = {Arnaud Gloter and Nakahiro Yoshida},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2503.03347},
year = {2026}
}