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We consider a process $X^\ve$ solution of a stochastic Volterra equation with an unknown parameter $\theta^\star$ in the drift function. The Volterra kernel is singular near zero, exhibiting a behavior comparable to $K\_0(u)=cu^{\alpha-1}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

This work is devoted to studying asymptotic behaviors for Volterra type McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with small noise. By applying the weak convergence approach, we establish the large and moderate deviation principles.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-11 Shanqi Liu , Yaozhong Hu , Hongjun Gao

We study the problem of parameter estimation for discretely observed stochastic processes driven by additive small L\'{e}vy noises. We do not impose any moment condition on the driving L\'{e}vy process. Under certain regularity conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-23 Hongwei Long , Yasutaka Shimizu , Wei Sun

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

For a one dimensional diffusion process $X=\{X(t) ; 0\leq t \leq T \}$, we suppose that $X(t)$ is hidden if it is below some fixed and known threshold $\tau$, but otherwise it is visible. This means a partially hidden diffusion process. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Stefano Iacus , Masayuki Uchida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Consider a process satisfying a stochastic differential equation with unknown drift parameter, and suppose that discrete observations are given. It is known that a simple least squares estimator (LSE) can be consistent, but numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-17 Yasutaka Shimizu

The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

We derive consistency and asymptotic normality results for quasi-maximum likelihood methods for drift parameters of ergodic stochastic processes observed in discrete time in an underlying continuous-time setting. The special feature of our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Teppei Ogihara , Mitja Stadje

We introduce a pathwise integration for Volterra processes driven by L\'evy noise or martingale noise. These processes are widely used in applications to turbulence, signal processes, biology, and in environmental finance. Indeed they…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-31 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Konstiantyn Ralchenko

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Consider discrete time observations (X_{\ell\delta})_{1\leq \ell \leq n+1}$ of the process $X$ satisfying $dX_t= \sqrt{V_t} dB_t$, with $V_t$ a one-dimensional positive diffusion process independent of the Brownian motion $B$. For both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-12-25 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

We discuss parametric estimation of a degenerate diffusion system from time-discrete observations. The first component of the degenerate diffusion system has a parameter $\theta_1$ in a non-degenerate diffusion coefficient and a parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Arnaud Gloter , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider estimation of the drift parameter $\vartheta>0$ in a \emph{partially observed} Ornstein--Uhlenbeck type model driven by a mixed fractional Brownian noise. Our framework extends the partially observed model of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Chunhao Cai

We address the problem of estimating the drift parameter in a system of $N$ interacting particles driven by additive fractional Brownian motion of Hurst index \( H \geq 1/2 \). Considering continuous observation of the interacting particles…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-12 Chiara Amorino , Ivan Nourdin , Radomyra Shevchenko

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We consider a problem of statistical estimation of an unknown drift parameter for a stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Two estimators based on discrete observations of solution to the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ral'chenko , Oleg Seleznev , Georgiy Shevchenko

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

We study discrete-time stochastic processes $(X_t)$ on $[0,\infty)$ with asymptotically zero mean drifts. Specifically, we consider the critical (Lamperti-type) situation in which the mean drift at $x$ is about $c/x$. Our focus is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Ostap Hryniv , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

In this paper we investigate a problem of large deviations for continuous Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study the behavior, in the near future after $T$, of a Volterra process driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-30 Barbara Pacchiarotti

This paper generalizes a part of the theory of $Z$-estimation which has been developed mainly in the context of modern empirical processes to the case of stochastic processes, typically, semimartingales. We present a general theorem to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-03 Yoichi Nishiyama
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