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Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

This paper presents a framework to apply property-based testing (PBT) on top of temporal formal models. The aim of this work is to help software engineers to understand temporal models that are presented formally and to make use of the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-05-30 Nasser Alzahrani , Maria Spichkova , Jan Olaf Blech

We here propose a machine learning approach for monitoring particle detectors in real-time. The goal is to assess the compatibility of incoming experimental data with a reference dataset, characterising the data behaviour under normal…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-03-10 Gaia Grosso , Nicolò Lai , Marco Letizia , Jacopo Pazzini , Marco Rando , Lorenzo Rosasco , Andrea Wulzer , Marco Zanetti

Recent semi-supervised and self-supervised methods have shown great success in the image and text domain by utilizing augmentation techniques. Despite such success, it is not easy to transfer this success to tabular domains. It is not easy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Morteza Mohammady Gharasuie , Fenjiao Wang

In this paper, we propose a novel feature weighting method to address the limitation of existing feature processing methods for tabular data. Typically the existing methods assume equal importance across all samples and features in one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 Xinhao Zhang , Zaitian Wang , Lu Jiang , Wanfu Gao , Pengfei Wang , Kunpeng Liu

Conditional independence testing is an important problem, yet provably hard without assumptions. One of the assumptions that has become popular of late is called "model-X", where we assume we know the joint distribution of the covariates,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Eugene Katsevich , Aaditya Ramdas

Conditional independence (CI) testing is a fundamental and challenging task in modern statistics and machine learning. Many modern methods for CI testing rely on powerful supervised learning methods to learn regression functions or Bayes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Felipe Maia Polo , Yuekai Sun , Moulinath Banerjee

Online transaction fraud presents substantial challenges to businesses and consumers, risking significant financial losses. Conventional rule-based systems struggle to keep pace with evolving fraud tactics, leading to high false positive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-20 Catayoun Azarm , Erman Acar , Mickey van Zeelt

In high dimensional analysis, effects of explanatory variables on responses sometimes rely on certain exposure variables, such as time or environmental factors. In this paper, to characterize the importance of each predictor, we utilize its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-11 Yeqing Zhou , Jingyuan Liu , Zhihui Hao , Liping Zhu

Reliable and interpretable traffic crash modeling is essential for understanding causality and improving road safety. This study introduces a novel approach to predicting collision types by utilizing a comprehensive dataset fused from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Oscar Lares , Hao Zhen , Jidong J. Yang

Large pre-trained language models have shown promise for few-shot learning, completing text-based tasks given only a few task-specific examples. Will models soon solve classification tasks that have so far been reserved for human research…

Deep classifiers are known to rely on spurious features $\unicode{x2013}$ patterns which are correlated with the target on the training data but not inherently relevant to the learning problem, such as the image backgrounds when classifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Pavel Izmailov , Polina Kirichenko , Nate Gruver , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Researchers faced with a sequence of candidate model specifications must often choose the best specification that does not violate a testable identification assumption. One option in this scenario is sequential specification tests:…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Adam C. Sales

Though neural network models demonstrate impressive performance, we do not understand exactly how these black-box models make individual predictions. This drawback has led to substantial research devoted to understand these models in areas…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Serena Booth , Ankit Shah , Yilun Zhou , Julie Shah

Post-hoc calibration methods are widely used to improve the reliability of probabilistic predictions from machine learning models. Despite their prevalence, a comprehensive theoretical understanding of these methods remains elusive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kristina P. Sinaga , Arjun S. Nair

Machine learning (ML) models show strong promise for new biomedical prediction tasks, but concerns about trustworthiness have hindered their clinical adoption. In particular, it is often unclear whether a model relies on true clinical cues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Dushan N. Wadduwage , Dineth Jayakody , Leonidas Zimianitis

P-values and null-hypothesis significance testing are popular data-analytical tools in functional neuroimaging. Sparked by the analysis of resting-state fMRI data, there has been a resurgence of interest in the validity of some of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-10 Dirk Ostwald , Sebastian Schneider , Rasmus Bruckner , Lilla Horvath

Spurious correlations threaten the validity of statistical classifiers. While model accuracy may appear high when the test data is from the same distribution as the training data, it can quickly degrade when the test distribution changes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Zhao Wang , Aron Culotta

Tabular foundation models like TabPFN and TabICL achieve state-of-the-art performance through in-context learning, yet their architectures remain fundamentally opaque. We introduce KernelICL, a framework to enhance tabular foundation models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Ratmir Miftachov , Bruno Charron , Simon Valentin

Tabular foundation models (TFMs) such as TabPFN (Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network) are designed to generalize across heterogeneous tabular datasets through in-context learning (ICL). They perform prediction in a single forward pass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 James Hu , Mahdi Ghelichi
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