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We present a novel methodology for modeling and forecasting multivariate realized volatilities using customized graph neural networks to incorporate spillover effects across stocks. The proposed model offers the benefits of incorporating…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 Chao Zhang , Xingyue Pu , Mihai Cucuringu , Xiaowen Dong

We propose an approach for fitting linear regression models that splits the set of covariates into groups. The optimal split of the variables into groups and the regularized estimation of the regression coefficients are performed by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-13 Anthony Christidis , Ruben Zamar , Laks V. S. Lakshmanan , Ezequiel Smucler

In this paper we consider estimating the system parameters and designing stable observer for unknown noisy linear time-invariant (LTI) systems. We propose a Support Vector Regression (SVR) based estimator to provide adjustable asymmetric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Xuda Ding , Han Wang , Jianping He , Cailian Chen , Xinping Guan

Transformers have become the leading choice in natural language processing over other deep learning architectures. This trend has also permeated the field of time series analysis, especially for long-horizon forecasting, showcasing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Ignacio Aguilera-Martos , Andrés Herrera-Poyatos , Julián Luengo , Francisco Herrera

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models offer a versatile framework for multivariate time series analysis, yet face critical challenges from over-parameterization and uncertain lag order. In this paper, we systematically compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Harrison Katz , Robert E. Weiss

Multi-step forecasting is often described through a simple rule of thumb: recursive strategies are said to have high bias and low variance, while direct strategies are said to have low bias and high variance. We revisit this belief by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Riku Green , Huw Day , Zahraa S. Abdallah , Telmo M. Silva Filho

With regard to a three-step estimation procedure, proposed without theoretical discussion by Li and You in Journal of Applied Statistics and Management, for a nonparametric regression model with time-varying regression function, local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Jiyanglin Li , Tao Li

Generating semantically coherent text requires a robust internal representation of linguistic structures, which traditional embedding techniques often fail to capture adequately. A novel approach, Latent Lexical Projection (LLP), is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Ziad Shaker , Brendan Ashdown , Hugo Fitzalan , Alistair Heathcote , Jocasta Huntington

Spatial dependent data frequently occur in many fields such as spatial econometrics and epidemiology. To deal with the dependence of variables and estimate quantile-specific effects by covariates, spatial quantile autoregressive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Ping Dong , Jiawei Hou , Yunquan Song

Missing covariate data pose a significant challenge to statistical inference and machine learning, particularly for classification tasks like logistic regression. Classical iterative approaches (EM, multiple imputation) are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 M. Cherifi , Aude Sportisse , Xujia Zhu , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , A. Mesloub

This paper introduces an adaptive polytopic estimator design for nonlinear systems under bounded disturbances combining moving horizon and dual estimation techniques. It extends the moving horizon estimation results for LTI systems to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Nestor N. Deniz , Marina H. Murillo , Guido Sanchez , Leonardo L. Giovanini

This paper considers sequential adaptive estimation of sparse signals under a constraint on the total sensing effort. The advantage of adaptivity in this context is the ability to focus more resources on regions of space where signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-03 Dennis Wei , Alfred O. Hero

Methods based on partial least squares (PLS) regression, which has recently gained much attention in the analysis of high-dimensional genomic datasets, have been developed since the early 2000s for performing variable selection. Most of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Jérémy Magnanensi , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand , Nicolas Meyer , Frédéric Bertrand

This study proposes sparse estimation methods for the generalized linear models, which run one of least angle regression (LARS) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in the tangent space of the manifold of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-20 Yoshihiro Hirose

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

The approximation of nonlinear kernels via linear feature maps has recently gained interest due to their applications in reducing the training and testing time of kernel-based learning algorithms. Current random projection methods avoid the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-02-05 A. G. Chung , M. J. Shafiee , A. Wong

This paper investigates a partially linear spatial autoregressive panel data model that incorporates fixed effects, constant and time-varying regression coefficients, and a time-varying spatial lag coefficient. A two-stage least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Lingling Tian , Chuanhua Wei , Mixia Wu

Convex regression (CR) is an approach for fitting a convex function to a finite number of observations. It arises in various applications from diverse fields such as statistics, operations research, economics, and electrical engineering.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Necdet Serhat Aybat , Zi Wang

We examine the linear regression problem in a challenging high-dimensional setting with correlated predictors where the vector of coefficients can vary from sparse to dense. In this setting, we propose a combination of probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Roman Parzer , Peter Filzmoser , Laura Vana-Gür

Visual prompting has gained popularity as a method for adapting pre-trained models to specific tasks, particularly in the realm of parameter-efficient tuning. However, existing visual prompting techniques often pad the prompt parameters…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Can Jin , Ying Li , Mingyu Zhao , Shiyu Zhao , Zhenting Wang , Xiaoxiao He , Ligong Han , Tong Che , Dimitris N. Metaxas