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Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for public health response, resource allocation, and outbreak intervention, but remains difficult with sparse, noisy, and highly non-stationary data. Because epidemics unfold across interacting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Ruiqi Lyu , Alistair Turcan , Bryan Wilder

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for outbreak preparedness, but existing data-driven models are often brittle. Typically trained on a single pathogen, they struggle with data scarcity during new outbreaks and fail under distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Zewen Liu , Juntong Ni , Bohan Wang , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

As a type of multi-dimensional sequential data, the spatial and temporal dependencies of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals should be further investigated. Thus, in this paper, we propose a novel spatial-temporal progressive attention model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Yang Li , Wei Liu , Tianzhi Feng , Fu Li , Chennan Wu , Boxun Fu , Zhifu Zhao , Xiaotian Wang , Guangming Shi

Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic has created many challenges that need immediate attention. Various epidemiological and deep learning models have been developed to predict the COVID-19 outbreak, but all have limitations that affect the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Junyi Gao , Rakshith Sharma , Cheng Qian , Lucas M. Glass , Jeffrey Spaeder , Justin Romberg , Jimeng Sun , Cao Xiao

Epidemic modeling is an essential tool to understand the spread of the novel coronavirus and ultimately assist in disease prevention, policymaking, and resource allocation. In this article, we establish a state of the art interface between…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-17 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Lei Gao , Xinyi Li , Shan Yu , Myungjin Kim , Yueying Wang , Zhiling Gu

Spatial-temporal causal time series (STC-TS) involve region-specific temporal observations driven by causally relevant covariates and interconnected across geographic or network-based spaces. Existing methods often model spatial and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

Accurate epidemic forecasting plays a vital role for governments in developing effective prevention measures for suppressing epidemics. Most of the present spatio-temporal models cannot provide a general framework for stable, and accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Junkai Mao , Yuexing Han , Bing Wang

Spatio-temporal predictive learning plays a crucial role in self-supervised learning, with wide-ranging applications across a diverse range of fields. Previous approaches for temporal modeling fall into two categories: recurrent-based and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Cheng Tan , Jue Wang , Zhangyang Gao , Siyuan Li , Stan Z. Li

Providing accurate and reliable predictions about the future of an epidemic is an important problem for enabling informed public health decisions. Recent works have shown that leveraging data-driven solutions that utilize advances in deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

Accurate prediction of the transmission of epidemic diseases such as COVID-19 is crucial for implementing effective mitigation measures. In this work, we develop a tensor method to predict the evolution of epidemic trends for many regions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Nikos Kargas , Cheng Qian , Nicholas D. Sidiropoulos , Cao Xiao , Lucas M. Glass , Jimeng Sun

Spatiotemporal forecasting techniques are significant for various domains such as transportation, energy, and weather. Accurate prediction of spatiotemporal series remains challenging due to the complex spatiotemporal heterogeneity. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Haotian Gao , Renhe Jiang , Zheng Dong , Jinliang Deng , Yuxin Ma , Xuan Song

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

Several researches and evidence show the increasing likelihood of pandemics (large-scale outbreaks of infectious disease) which has far reaching sequels in all aspects of human lives ranging from rapid mortality rates to economic and social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Shreya Ghosh , Anwesha Mukherjee , Soumya K Ghosh , Rajkumar Buyya

We propose the spatial-temporal aggregated predictor (STAP) modeling framework to address measurement and estimation issues that arise when assessing the relationship between built environment features (BEF) and health outcomes. Many BEFs…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-25 Adam Peterson , Jana Hirsch , Brisa Sanchez

Spatial-temporal forecasting is crucial and widely applicable in various domains such as traffic, energy, and climate. Benefiting from the abundance of unlabeled spatial-temporal data, self-supervised methods are increasingly adapted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Qi Zheng , Zihao Yao , Yaying Zhang

Spatio-temporal point process (STPP) is a stochastic collection of events accompanied with time and space. Due to computational complexities, existing solutions for STPPs compromise with conditional independence between time and space,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Yuan Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Chenyang Shao , Depeng Jin , Yong Li

Epidemic prediction is of practical significance in public health, enabling early intervention, resource allocation, and strategic planning. However, privacy concerns often hinder the sharing of health data among institutions, limiting the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Chengpeng Fu , Tong Li , Hao Chen , Wen Du , Zhidong He

Predicting the evolution of diseases is challenging, especially when the data availability is scarce and incomplete. The most popular tools for modelling and predicting infectious disease epidemics are compartmental models. They stratify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Esha Saha , Lam Si Tung Ho , Giang Tran

Networks of timestamped interactions arise across social, financial, and biological domains, where forecasting future events requires modeling both evolving topology and temporal ordering. Temporal link prediction methods typically frame…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 İbrahim Bahadır Altun , Ahmet Erdem Sarıyüce

Temporally aware image representations are crucial for capturing disease progression in 3D volumes of longitudinal medical datasets. However, recent state-of-the-art self-supervised learning approaches like Masked Autoencoding (MAE),…

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