English

ST-ReP: Learning Predictive Representations Efficiently for Spatial-Temporal Forecasting

Machine Learning 2024-12-20 v1

Abstract

Spatial-temporal forecasting is crucial and widely applicable in various domains such as traffic, energy, and climate. Benefiting from the abundance of unlabeled spatial-temporal data, self-supervised methods are increasingly adapted to learn spatial-temporal representations. However, it encounters three key challenges: 1) the difficulty in selecting reliable negative pairs due to the homogeneity of variables, hindering contrastive learning methods; 2) overlooking spatial correlations across variables over time; 3) limitations of efficiency and scalability in existing self-supervised learning methods. To tackle these, we propose a lightweight representation-learning model ST-ReP, integrating current value reconstruction and future value prediction into the pre-training framework for spatial-temporal forecasting. And we design a new spatial-temporal encoder to model fine-grained relationships. Moreover, multi-time scale analysis is incorporated into the self-supervised loss to enhance predictive capability. Experimental results across diverse domains demonstrate that the proposed model surpasses pre-training-based baselines, showcasing its ability to learn compact and semantically enriched representations while exhibiting superior scalability.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2412.14537,
  title  = {ST-ReP: Learning Predictive Representations Efficiently for Spatial-Temporal Forecasting},
  author = {Qi Zheng and Zihao Yao and Yaying Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2412.14537},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

13 pages, 7 pages. Accepted by AAAI2025

R2 v1 2026-06-28T20:41:40.328Z