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We consider the challenge of efficiently detecting changes within a network of sensors, where we also need to minimise communication between sensors and the cloud. We propose an online, communication-efficient method to detect such changes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-11 Ziyang Yang , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Stochastic reaction network models arise in intracellular chemical reactions, epidemiological models and other population process models, and are a class of continuous time Markov chains which have the nonnegative integer lattice as state…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

We develop a data-driven method, based on semi-supervised classification, to predict the asymptotic state of multistable systems when only sparse spatial measurements of the system are feasible. Our method predicts the asymptotic behavior…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Bryan Chu , Mohammad Farazmand

A new particle-based sampling and approximate inference method, based on electrostatics and Newton mechanics principles, is introduced with theoretical ground, algorithm design and experimental validation. This method simulates an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Yongchao Huang

We develop, discuss, and compare several inference techniques to constrain theory parameters in collider experiments. By harnessing the latent-space structure of particle physics processes, we extract extra information from the simulator.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2018-09-19 Johann Brehmer , Kyle Cranmer , Gilles Louppe , Juan Pavez

Motivated by recent progress in data assimilation, we develop an algorithm to dynamically learn the parameters of a chaotic system from partial observations. Under reasonable assumptions, we rigorously establish the convergence of this…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Elizabeth Carlson , Joshua Hudson , Adam Larios , Vincent R. Martinez , Eunice Ng , Jared P. Whitehead

In this paper, a concurrent learning based adaptive observer is developed for a class of second-order linear time-invariant systems with uncertain system matrices. The developed technique yields an exponentially convergent state estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Online monitoring aims to evaluate or to predict, at runtime, whether or not the behaviors of a system satisfy some desired specification. It plays a key role in safety-critical cyber-physical systems. In this work, we propose a new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-31 Xinyi Yu , Weijie Dong , Xiang Yin , Shaoyuan Li

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

Online decision-making problem requires us to make a sequence of decisions based on incremental information. Common solutions often need to learn a reward model of different actions given the contextual information and then maximize the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 Haoyu Chen , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

A reaction network is a chemical system involving multiple reactions and chemical species. Stochastic models of such networks treat the system as a continuous time Markov chain on the number of molecules of each species with reactions as…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Karen Ball , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic , Greg Rempala

Driver models are invaluable for planning in autonomous vehicles as well as validating their safety in simulation. Highly parameterized black-box driver models are very expressive, and can capture nuanced behavior. However, they usually…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-07 Raunak Bhattacharyya , Ransalu Senanayake , Kyle Brown , Mykel Kochenderfer

We propose a new method for parameter learning in Bayesian networks with qualitative influences. This method extends our previous work from networks of binary variables to networks of discrete variables with ordered values. The specified…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Ad Feelders

We consider the problem of least squares parameter estimation from single-trajectory data for discrete-time, unstable, closed-loop nonlinear stochastic systems, with linearly parameterised uncertainty. Assuming a region of the state space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-06 Seth Siriya , Jingge Zhu , Dragan Nešić , Ye Pu

The objective of this article is to study the asymptotic behavior of a new particle filtering approach in the context of hidden Markov models (HMMs). In particular, we develop an algorithm where the latent-state sequence is segmented into…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Hock Peng Chan , Chiang Wee Heng , Ajay Jasra

Dynamical systems, for instance in model predictive control, often contain unknown parameters, which must be determined during system operation. Online or on-the-fly parameter identification methods are therefore necessary. The challenge of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-05 Barbara Kaltenbacher , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

Many successful applications of computer vision to image or video manipulation are interactive by nature. However, parameters of such systems are often trained neglecting the user. Traditionally, interactive systems have been treated in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-12-15 Hannes Nickisch , Pushmeet Kohli , Carsten Rother

We analyze a stochastic approximation algorithm for decision-dependent problems, wherein the data distribution used by the algorithm evolves along the iterate sequence. The primary examples of such problems appear in performative prediction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Joshua Cutler , Mateo Díaz , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy
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