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In computational social science, researchers often use a pre-trained, black box classifier to estimate the frequency of each class in unlabeled datasets. A variety of prevalence estimation techniques have been developed in the literature,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Siqi Wu , Paul Resnick

This paper studies Cox's regression hazard model with an unobservable random frailty where no specific distribution is postulated for the frailty variable, and the marginal lifetime distribution allows both parametric and non-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-09 Vahed Maroufy , Paul Marriott

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

We present a unified three-state model (TSM) framework for evaluating treatment effects in clinical trials in the presence of treatment crossover. Researchers have proposed diverse methodologies to estimate the treatment effect that would…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Zile Zhao , Ye Li , Xiaodong Luo , Ray Bai

The Cox regression model and its associated hazard ratio (HR) are frequently used for summarizing the effect of treatments on time to event outcomes. However, the HR's interpretation strongly depends on the assumed underlying survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Todd A. MacKenzie , A. James O'Malley

We propose a comprehensive Bayesian joint modeling framework for zero-inflated longitudinal count data and time-to-event outcomes, explicitly incorporating a cure fraction to account for subjects who never experience the event. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Taban Baghfalaki , Mojtaba Ganjali

Clustered observations are ubiquitous in controlled and observational studies and arise naturally in multi-centre trials or longitudinal surveys. We present a novel model for the analysis of clustered observations where the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-03 Luisa Barbanti , Torsten Hothorn

Proportional mean residual life model is studied for analysing survival data from the case-cohort design. To simultaneously estimate the regression parameters and the baseline mean residual life function, weighted estimating equations based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Huijuan Ma , Jianhua Shi , Yong Zhou

Traditional statistical and machine learning methods typically assume that the training and test data follow the same distribution. However, this assumption is frequently violated in real-world applications, where the training data in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Hanxuan Ye , Hongzhe Li

Reliable uncertainty quantification is crucial for reinforcement learning (RL) in high-stakes settings. We propose a unified conformal prediction framework for infinite-horizon policy evaluation that constructs distribution-free prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Feichen Gan , Youcun Lu , Yingying Zhang , Yukun Liu

Interval-censoring frequently occurs in studies of chronic diseases where disease status is inferred from intermittently collected biomarkers. Although many methods have been developed to analyze such data, they typically assume perfect…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Yuhao Deng , Donglin Zeng , Yuanjia Wang

We introduce Coarse Q-learning (CQL), a reinforcement-learning model for bandit problems with stochastically varying menus. Alternatives are exogenously partitioned into similarity classes, and feedback from sampled alternatives is pooled…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-13 Philippe Jehiel , Aviman Satpathy

Climate change will cause an increase in the frequency and severity of flood events, prompting the need for cohesive adaptation policymaking. Designing effective adaptation policies, however, depends on managing the uncertainty of long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Miguel Costa , Arthur Vandervoort , Martin Drews , Karyn Morrissey , Francisco C. Pereira

We use the illness-death model (IDM) for chronic conditions to derive a new analytical relation between the transition rates between the states of the IDM. The transition rates are the incidence rate (i) and the mortality rates of people…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Maryam Saem , Ralph Brinks

The proportional hazards assumption in the commonly used Cox model for censored failure time data is often violated in scientific studies. Yang and Prentice (2005) proposed a novel semiparametric two-sample model that includes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-06 Guoqing Diao , Donglin Zeng , Song Yang

In this study, we present a hybrid CNN-RNN approach to investigate long-term survival of subjects in a lung cancer screening study. Subjects who died of cardiovascular and respiratory causes were identified whereby the CNN model was used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Yaozhi Lu , Shahab Aslani , An Zhao , Ahmed Shahin , David Barber , Mark Emberton , Daniel C. Alexander , Joseph Jacob

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown great success in estimating sequential treatment strategies which take into account patient heterogeneity. However, health-outcome information, which is used as the reward for reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Aaron Sonabend-W , Nilanjana Laha , Ashwin N. Ananthakrishnan , Tianxi Cai , Rajarshi Mukherjee

We develop new semiparametric methods for estimating treatment effects. We focus on settings where the outcome distributions may be thick tailed, where treatment effects may be small, where sample sizes are large and where assignment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Susan Athey , Peter J. Bickel , Aiyou Chen , Guido W. Imbens , Michael Pollmann

When analyzing time-to-event data, it often happens that some subjects do not experience the event of interest. Survival models that take this feature into account (called `cure models') have been developed in the presence of covariates.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-19 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Ingrid Van Keilegom

In confirmatory clinical trials, survival outcomes are frequently studied and interim analyses for efficacy and/or futility are often desirable. Methods such as the log rank test and Cox regression model are commonly used to compare…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Peter Zhang , Brent Logan , Michael Martens