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In this paper, we study the problem of learning the skill distribution of a population of agents from observations of pairwise games in a tournament. These games are played among randomly drawn agents from the population. The agents in our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-16 Ali Jadbabaie , Anuran Makur , Devavrat Shah

We consider a general class of round-robin tournament models of equally strong players. In these models, each of the $n$ players competes against every other player exactly once. For each match between two players, the outcome is a value…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Yaakov Malinovsky

In many competitive settings, from education to politics, rules do not reward effort evenly, and thresholds (e.g., grade cutoffs or electoral majorities) make some moments disproportionately important. Success thus depends on efficiently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Masatsugu Yoshizawa , Yuta Kawamoto , Daisuke Takeshita

As artificial intelligence becomes increasingly intelligent---in some cases, achieving superhuman performance---there is growing potential for humans to learn from and collaborate with algorithms. However, the ways in which AI systems…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Reid McIlroy-Young , Siddhartha Sen , Jon Kleinberg , Ashton Anderson

Suppose $n$ boys and $n$ girls rank each other at random. We show that any particular girl has at least $({1\over 2}-\epsilon) \ln n$ and at most $(1+\epsilon)\ln n$ different husbands in the set of all Gale/Shapley stable matchings defined…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-02-03 Donald E. Knuth , Rajeev Motwani , Boris Pittel

Current chess rating systems update ratings incrementally and may not always accurately reflect a player's true strength at all times, especially for rapidly improving players or very rusty players. To overcome this, we explore a method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-04 Michael Omori , Prasad Tadepalli

An increasing number of domains are providing us with detailed trace data on human decisions in settings where we can evaluate the quality of these decisions via an algorithm. Motivated by this development, an emerging line of work has…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Ashton Anderson , Jon Kleinberg , Sendhil Mullainathan

We consider a card guessing game with complete feedback. An ordered deck of $n$ cards labeled $1$ up to $n$ is shelf-shuffled exactly one time. One after the other a single card is drawn from the shuffled deck. The guesser makes has guess…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Markus Kuba

In this article we compute analytically the number of Nash Equilibria (NE) for a two-choice game played on a (circular) ladder graph with $2n$ players. We consider a set of games with generic payoff parameters, with the only requirement…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Victoria Sánchez Muñoz , Michael Mc Gettrick

In this article, we study the decision-making process of chess players by using a chess engine to evaluate the moves across different pools of games. We quantified the decisiveness of each move during the games using a metric derived from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-13 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

While artificial intelligence has achieved superhuman performance in chess, developing models that accurately emulate the individualized decision-making styles of human players remains a significant challenge. Existing human-like chess…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Loris Sogliuzzo , Aloïs Rautureau , Eric Piette

Hundreds of years after its creation, the game of chess is still widely played worldwide. Opening Theory is one of the pillars of chess and requires years of study to be mastered. Here we exploit the "wisdom of the crowd" in an online chess…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-26 Giordano De Marzo , Vito DP Servedio

In each round of a Swiss-system tournament, players of similar score are paired against each other. An intentional early loss therefore might lead to weaker opponents in later rounds and thus to a better final tournament result - a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Ágnes Cseh , Pascal Führlich , Pascal Lenzner

Strategic decision-making requires balancing immediate opportunities against long-term objectives: a tension fundamental to competitive environments. We investigate this trade-off in chess by analyzing the dynamics of human and AI gameplay…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Adamo Cerioli , Edward D. Lee , Vito D. P. Servedio

Gambits are central to human decision-making. Our goal is to provide a theory of Gambits. A Gambit is a combination of psychological and technical factors designed to disrupt predictable play. Chess provides an environment to study gambits…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-14 Shiva Maharaj , Nicholas Polson , Christian Turk

Chess and chance are seemingly strange bedfellows. Luck and/or randomness have no apparent role in move selection when the game is played at the highest levels. However, when competition is at the ultimate level, that of the World Chess…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-30 Mark R. Segal

Contract bridge occupies nowadays a position of great prestige being, together with chess, the only mind games officially recognized by the International Olympic Committee. In the present paper an innovative method for assessing the total…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-30 Michael Gr. Voskoglou

Today's competition between the professional eSports teams is so strong that in-depth analysis of players' performance literally crucial for creating a powerful team. There are two main approaches to such an estimation: obtaining features…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Anton Smerdov , Evgeny Burnaev , Andrey Somov

The advent of machine learning models that surpass human decision-making ability in complex domains has initiated a movement towards building AI systems that interact with humans. Many building blocks are essential for this activity, with a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Reid McIlroy-Young , Russell Wang , Siddhartha Sen , Jon Kleinberg , Ashton Anderson

In general, Nash equilibria in normal-form games may require players to play (probabilistically) mixed strategies. We define a measure of the complexity of finite probability distributions and study the complexity required to play Nash…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Edan Orzech , Martin Rinard