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From sports to science, the recent availability of large-scale data has allowed to gain insights on the drivers of human innovation and success in a variety of domains. Here we quantify human performance in the popular game of chess by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-19 Sandeep Chowdhary , Iacopo Iacopini , Federico Battiston

Competitor rating systems for head-to-head games are typically used to measure playing strength from game outcomes. Ratings computed from these systems are often used to select top competitors for elite events, for pairing players of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Mark E. Glickman

AI research in chess has been primarily focused on producing stronger agents that can maximize the probability of winning. However, there is another aspect to chess that has largely gone unexamined: its aesthetic appeal. Specifically, there…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Kamron Zaidi , Michael Guerzhoy

In a classical chess round-robin tournament, each of $n$ players wins, draws, or loses a game against each of the other $n-1$ players. A win rewards a player with 1 points, a draw with 1/2 point, and a loss with 0 points. We are interested…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Yaakov Malinovsky

The strength of chess engines together with the availability of numerous chess games have attracted the attention of chess players, data scientists, and researchers during the last decades. State-of-the-art engines now provide an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-07-15 Mathieu Acher , François Esnault

Chess is an emblematic sport that stands out because of its age, popularity and complexity. It has served to study human behavior from the perspective of a wide number of disciplines, from cognitive skills such as memory and learning, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-10 Nahuel Almeira , Ana Laura Schaigorodsky , Juan Ignacio Perotti , Orlando Vito Billoni

The presence or absence of winner-loser effects is a widely discussed phenomenon across both sports and psychology research. Investigation of such effects is often hampered by the limited availability of data. Online chess has exploded in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-12 Adam Gee , Sydney O. Seese , James P. Curley , Owen G. Ward

We introduce a novel metric to quantify the fragility of chess positions using the interaction graph of pieces. This fragility score $F$ captures the tension within a position and serves as a strong indicator of tipping points in a game. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-28 Marc Barthelemy

This paper presents a data-driven statistical framework to quantify the role of skill in games, addressing the long-standing question of whether success in a game is predominantly driven by skill or chance. We analyze player level data from…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Tathagata Banerjee , Anushka De , Subhamoy Maitra , Diganta Mukherjee

We establish a general formula for the distribution of the score in table tennis. We use this formula to derive the probability distribution (and hence the expectation and variance) of the number of rallies necessary to achieve any given…

Applications · Statistics 2011-10-02 Yves Dominicy , Christophe Ley , Yvik Swan

The Elo system for rating chess players, also used in other games and sports, was adopted by the World Chess Federation over four decades ago. Although not without controversy, it is accepted as generally reliable and provides a method for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-03-31 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

Accurately estimating human skill levels is crucial for designing effective human-AI interactions so that AI can provide appropriate challenges or guidance. In games where AI players have beaten top human professionals, strength estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Kyota Kuboki , Tatsuyoshi Ogawa , Chu-Hsuan Hsueh , Shi-Jim Yen , Kokolo Ikeda

Chess engines passed human strength years ago, but they still don't play like humans. A grandmaster under clock pressure blunders in ways a club player on a hot streak never would. Conventional engines capture none of this. This paper…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Diego Armando Resendez Prado

Chess, a deterministic game with perfect information, has long served as a benchmark for studying strategic decision-making and artificial intelligence. Traditional chess engines or tools for analysis primarily focus on calculating optimal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Daren Zhong , Dingcheng Huang , Clayton Greenberg

Ranking is a ubiquitous phenomenon in the human society. By clicking the web pages of Forbes, you may find all kinds of rankings, such as world's most powerful people, world's richest people, top-paid tennis stars, and so on and so forth.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Weibing Deng , Wei Li , Xu Cai , Alain Bulou , Qiuping A. Wang

We consider the problem of estimating `preference' or `strength' parameters in three-way comparison experiments, each composed of a series of paired comparisons, but where only the single `preferred' or `strongest' candidate is known in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Roderick Edwards

We investigate a pool of international chess title holders born between 1901 and 1943. Using Elo ratings we compute for every player his expected score in a game with a randomly selected player from the pool. We use this figure as player's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-29 M. V. Simkin , V. P. Roychowdhury

Moves in chess games are usually analyzed on a case-by-case basis by professional players, but thanks to the availability of large game databases, we can envision another approach of the game. Here, we indeed adopt a very different point of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-01 Marc Barthelemy

This paper presents a novel approach to analyze human decision-making that involves comparing the behavior of professional chess players relative to a computational benchmark of cognitively bounded rationality. This benchmark is constructed…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-03 Dainis Zegners , Uwe Sunde , Anthony Strittmatter

Chess has long been a testbed for AI's quest to match human intelligence, and in recent years, chess AI systems have surpassed the strongest humans at the game. However, these systems are not human-aligned; they are unable to match the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Yiming Zhang , Athul Paul Jacob , Vivian Lai , Daniel Fried , Daphne Ippolito
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