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Related papers: Demystifying Prediction Powered Inference

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As artificial intelligence and machine learning tools become more accessible, and scientists face new obstacles to data collection (e.g. rising costs, declining survey response rates), researchers increasingly use predictions from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Awan Afiaz , Jeffrey T. Leek , Tyler H. McCormick

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

Model explanations such as saliency maps can improve user trust in AI by highlighting important features for a prediction. However, these become distorted and misleading when explaining predictions of images that are subject to systematic…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Wencan Zhang , Mariella Dimiccoli , Brian Y. Lim

Pseudo-labeling is a popular semi-supervised learning technique to leverage unlabeled data when labeled samples are scarce. The generation and selection of pseudo-labels heavily rely on labeled data. Existing approaches implicitly assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Nabeel Seedat , Nicolas Huynh , Fergus Imrie , Mihaela van der Schaar

In this extended abstract, we discuss the opportunity to formally verify that inference systems for probabilistic programming guarantee good performance. In particular, we focus on hybrid inference systems that combine exact and approximate…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Eric Atkinson , Ellie Y. Cheng , Guillaume Baudart , Louis Mandel , Michael Carbin

Bayesian posterior distributions naturally represent parameter uncertainty informed by data. However, when the parameter space is complex, as in many nonparametric settings where it is infinite-dimensional or combinatorially large, standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho , Alessandro Rinaldo

In applications involving sensitive data, such as finance and healthcare, the necessity for preserving data privacy can be a significant barrier to machine learning model development. Differential privacy (DP) has emerged as one canonical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Zachary Izzo , Jinsung Yoon , Sercan O. Arik , James Zou

Precise estimation and uncertainty quantification for average crop yields are critical for agricultural monitoring and decision making. Existing data collection methods, such as crop cuts in randomly sampled fields at harvest time, are…

Leveraging privileged information (PI), or features available during training but not at test time, has recently been shown to be an effective method for addressing label noise. However, the reasons for its effectiveness are not well…

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the estimation bias when handling the ever-increasing data size and model complexity of modern data settings. In this paper, we propose a reliable estimation and inference…

We introduce PPBoot: a bootstrap-based method for prediction-powered inference. PPBoot is applicable to arbitrary estimation problems and is very simple to implement, essentially only requiring one application of the bootstrap. Through a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-27 Tijana Zrnic

From structural biology to epidemiology, predictions from machine learning (ML) models increasingly complement costly gold-standard data, enabling faster, more affordable, and scalable scientific inquiry. In response, prediction-based (PB)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jessica Gronsbell , Jianhui Gao , Zachary R. McCaw , Yaqi Shi , David Cheng

Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) are increasingly used to generate data for downstream analyses, yet naively treating these predictions as true observations can lead to biased results and incorrect inference. Wang et…

Protein-protein interaction (PPI) prediction is an important problem in machine learning and computational biology. However, there is no data set for training or evaluation purposes, where all the instances are accurately labeled. Instead,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-09-21 Haohan Wang , Madhavi K. Ganapathiraju

In recent years, word embeddings have been widely used to measure biases in texts. Even if they have proven to be effective in detecting a wide variety of biases, metrics based on word embeddings lack transparency and interpretability. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Francisco Valentini , Germán Rosati , Damián Blasi , Diego Fernandez Slezak , Edgar Altszyler

Quality statistical inference requires a sufficient amount of data, which can be missing or hard to obtain. To this end, prediction-powered inference has risen as a promising methodology, but existing approaches are largely limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) are one popular approach to incorporate a priori knowledge about physical systems into the learning framework. PINNs are known to be robust for smaller training sets, derive better generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Birgit Hillebrecht , Benjamin Unger

Debiased recommender models have recently attracted increasing attention from the academic and industry communities. Existing models are mostly based on the technique of inverse propensity score (IPS). However, in the recommendation domain,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Quanyu Dai , Zhenhua Dong , Xu Chen

When collaborating with an AI system, we need to assess when to trust its recommendations. If we mistakenly trust it in regions where it is likely to err, catastrophic failures may occur, hence the need for Bayesian approaches for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Federico Cerutti , Lance M. Kaplan , Angelika Kimmig , Murat Sensoy
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