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Accurate predictions of customers' future lifetime value (LTV) given their attributes and past purchase behavior enables a more customer-centric marketing strategy. Marketers can segment customers into various buckets based on the predicted…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-18 Xiaojing Wang , Tianqi Liu , Jingang Miao

Customer Life Time Value (LTV) is the expected total revenue that a single user can bring to a business. It is widely used in a variety of business scenarios to make operational decisions when acquiring new customers. Modeling LTV is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Kunpeng Li , Guangcui Shao , Naijun Yang , Xiao Fang , Yang Song

Accurate customer lifetime value (LTV) prediction can help service providers optimize their marketing policies in customer-centric applications. However, the heavy sparsity of consumption events and the interference of data variance and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Chuhan Wu , Jingjie Li , Qinglin Jia , Hong Zhu , Yuan Fang , Ruiming Tang

Customer Lifetime Value (CLTV) prediction is a critical task in business applications. Accurately predicting CLTV is challenging in real-world business scenarios, as the distribution of CLTV is complex and mutable. Firstly, there is a large…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Yunpeng Weng , Xing Tang , Zhenhao Xu , Fuyuan Lyu , Dugang Liu , Zexu Sun , Xiuqiang He

Customer lifetime value (LTV) prediction is essential for mobile game publishers trying to optimize the advertising investment for each user acquisition based on the estimated worth. In mobile games, deploying microtransactions is a simple…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Shijie Zhang , Xin Yan , Xuejiao Yang , Binfeng Jia , Shuangyang Wang

For Internet platforms operating real-time bidding (RTB) advertising service, a comprehensive understanding of user lifetime value (LTV) plays a pivotal role in optimizing advertisement allocation efficiency and maximizing the return on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Tianwei Li , Yu Zhao , Yunze Li , Sheng Li

In digital gaming, long-term user lifetime value (LTV) prediction is essential for monetization strategy, yet presents major challenges due to delayed payment behavior, sparse early user data, and the presence of high-value outliers. While…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Congde Yuan

Companies across the globe are keen on targeting potential high-value customers in an attempt to expand revenue and this could be achieved only by understanding the customers more. Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) is the total monetary value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Karan Gadgil , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

The LifeTime Value (LTV) prediction, which endeavors to forecast the cumulative purchase contribution of a user to a particular item, remains a vital challenge that advertisers are keen to resolve. A precise LTV prediction system enhances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Aochuan Chen , Yifan Niu , Ziqi Gao , Yujie Sun , Shoujun Liu , Gong Chen , Yang Liu , Jia Li

As a measure of the long-term contribution produced by customers in a service or product relationship, life-time value, or LTV, can more comprehensively find the optimal strategy for service delivery. However, it is challenging to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Zizhao Zhang , Yifei Zhao , Guangda Huzhang

Lifetime Value (LTV) prediction is critical in advertising, recommender systems, and e-commerce. In practice, LTV data patterns vary across decision scenarios. As a result, practitioners often build complex, scenario-specific pipelines and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Chaowei Wu , Huazhu Chen , Congde Yuan , Qirui Yang , Guoqing Song , Yue Gao , Li Luo , Frank Youhua Chen , Mengzhuo Guo

We describe the Customer LifeTime Value (CLTV) prediction system deployed at ASOS.com, a global online fashion retailer. CLTV prediction is an important problem in e-commerce where an accurate estimate of future value allows retailers to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Benjamin Paul Chamberlain , Angelo Cardoso , C. H. Bryan Liu , Roberto Pagliari , Marc Peter Deisenroth

This research designs a unified architecture of CTR prediction benchmark (Bench-CTR) platform that offers flexible interfaces with datasets and components of a wide range of CTR prediction models. Moreover, we construct a comprehensive…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Shan Gao , Yanwu Yang

This article introduces a novel methodology that integrates singular value decomposition (SVD) with a shallow linear neural network for forecasting high resolution fluid mechanics data. The method, termed LC-SVD-DLinear, combines a low-cost…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-27 Ashton Hetherington , Javier López Leonés , Soledad Le Clainche

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical problem in web search, recommendation systems and online advertisement displaying. Learning good feature interactions is essential to reflect user's preferences to items. Many CTR prediction…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Yuan Cheng , Yanbo Xue

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction is essential in online advertising, where semantic information plays a pivotal role in shaping user decisions and enhancing CTR effectiveness. Capturing and modeling deep semantic information, such as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Guoxiao Zhang , Yi Wei , Yadong Zhang , Huajian Feng , Qiang Liu

Generating accurate and reliable sales forecasts is crucial in the E-commerce business. The current state-of-the-art techniques are typically univariate methods, which produce forecasts considering only the historical sales data of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-13 Kasun Bandara , Peibei Shi , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

Estimating customer lifetime value (CLV or LTV) is extremely important for making better business decisions. The proposed flexible proportional hazards model allows an estimation of lifetime value in contractual settings. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-04 Vadim Pliner

We study high-confidence off-policy evaluation in the context of infinite-horizon Markov decision processes, where the objective is to establish a confidence interval (CI) for the target policy value using only offline data pre-collected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Wenzhuo Zhou , Yuhan Li , Ruoqing Zhu , Annie Qu
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