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Inspired by strict-monotonicity criteria for the time constant in first passage percolation, we investigate convex ordering of point processes in relation to the time constant in first contact percolation. In a nutshell, first contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu

The classical inverse first passage time problem asks whether, for a Brownian motion $(B_t)_{t\geq 0}$ and a positive random variable $\xi$, there exists a barrier $b:\mathbb{R}_+\to\mathbb{R}$ such that $\mathbb{P}\{B_s>b(s), 0\leq s \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Boris Ettinger , Alexandru Hening , Tak Kwong Wong

We introduce and study a class of abstract continuous action minimization problems that generalize continuous first and last passage percolation. In this class of models a limit shape exists. Our main result provides a framework under which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Yuri Bakhtin , Douglas Dow

We consider first-passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. weights, whose distribution function satisfies $F(0) = p_c = 1/2$. This is sometimes known as the "critical case" because large clusters of zero-weight edges force passage…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-18 Michael Damron , Wai-Kit Lam , Xuan Wang

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

These notes are based on the lectures that I gave (virtually) at the Bruneck Summer School in 2021 on first-passage processes and some applications of the basic theory. I begin by defining what is a first-passage process and presenting the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 S. Redner

In this paper, we propose a novel stochastic process that serves as a natural discrete-time counterpart to the continuous-time model known as the ``Poisson hyperbolic staircase'' proposed by Levikson et al. (1999), and clarify its…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Naohiro Yoshida

Point processes are an essential tool when we are interested in where in time or space events occur. The basic starting point for point processes is usually the Poisson process. Over the years, Stein's method has been developed with a great…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-11 H. L. Gan

We consider first-passage percolation on the edges of $\mathbb{Z}^2 \times k,$ namely the slab of width $k$. Each edge is assigned independently a passage time of either 0 (with probability $1-p_c(\mathbb{S}_k)$) or 1 ((with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Wei Wu , Serena Sian Yuan

This article describes a new Monte Carlo method for the evaluation of the orthant probabilities by sampling first passage times of a non-singular Gaussian discrete time-series across an absorbing boundary. This procedure makes use of a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-27 E. Di Nardo

A natural extension of a right-continuous integer-valued random walk is one which can jump to the right by one or two units. First passage times above a given fixed level then admit a tractable Laplace transform (probability generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-13 Matija Vidmar

Consider $\Xi$ a homogeneous Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ ($d\geq 2$) with unit intensity with respect to the Lebesgue measure. For $\varepsilon\geq 0$, we define the Boolean model $\Sigma_{p, \varepsilon}$ as the union of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Anne-Laure Basdevant , Jean-Baptiste Gouéré , Marie Théret

The narrow escape problem is a first-passage problem concerned with randomly moving particles in a physical domain, being trapped by absorbing surface traps (windows), such that the measure of traps is small compared to the domain size. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-09-15 Vaibhava Srivastava , Alexei Cheviakov

We show that for a subdiffusive continuous time random walk with scale-free waiting time distribution the first-passage dynamics on a finite interval can be optimised by introduction of a piecewise linear potential barrier. Analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-24 Vladimir Palyulin , Ralf Metzler

This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

We study the first-passage properties of a jump process with constant drift where jump amplitudes and inter-arrival times follow arbitrary light-tailed distributions with smooth densities. Using a mapping to an effective discrete-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-25 Ivan N. Burenev

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

We derive an approximate formula for the mean first-passage time (MFPT) to a small absorbing target of arbitrary shape inside an elongated domain of a slowly varying axisymmetric profile. For this purpose, the original Poisson equation in…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-05-06 Denis S. Grebenkov , Alexei T. Skvortsov

The Euclidean first-passage percolation model of Howard and Newman is a rotationally invariant percolation model built on a Poisson point process. It is known that the passage time between 0 and $ne_1$ obeys a diffusive upper bound:…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Megan Bernstein , Michael Damron , Torin Greenwood

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai
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