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We have provided a fractional generalization of the Poisson renewal processes by replacing the first time derivative in the relaxation equation of the survival probability by a fractional derivative of order $\alpha ~(0 < \alpha \leq 1)$. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-01 Nicy Sebastian , Rudolf Gorenflo

We extend the random walk framework to include compounded steps, providing first-passage time (FPT) properties for a new class of superdiffusive processes, which are governed by the space-fractional spectral Fokker-Planck equation. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang

We propose an approach for estimating the probability that a given small target, among many, will be the first to be reached in a molecular dynamics simulation. Reaching small targets out of a vast number of possible configurations…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-19 Jackson Loper , Guangyao Zhou , Stuart Geman

We celebrate the 50th anniversary of one the most classical models in probability theory. In this survey, we describe the main results of first passage percolation, paying special attention to the recent burst of advances of the past 5…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-11 Antonio Auffinger , Michael Damron , Jack Hanson

We introduce a path sampling method for obtaining statistical properties of an arbitrary stochastic dynamics. The method works by decomposing a trajectory in time, estimating the probability of satisfying a progress constraint, modifying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Nicholas Guttenberg , Aaron R. Dinner , Jonathan Weare

Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 Annalisa Molini , Peter Talkner , Gabriel G. Katul , Amilcare Porporato

We provide an analytic solution to the first-passage time (FPT) problem of a piecewise-smooth stochastic model, namely Brownian motion with dry friction, using two different but closely related approaches which are based on eigenfunction…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-03-19 Yaming Chen , Wolfram Just

This paper uses Lie symmetry methods to analyze boundary crossing probabilities for a large class of diffusion processes. We show that if Fokker--Planck--Kolmogorov equation has non-trivial Lie symmetry, then boundary crossing identity…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 Dmitry Muravey

Aging, the dependence of the dynamics of a physical process on the time $t_a$ since its original preparation, is observed in systems ranging from the motion of charge carriers in amorphous semiconductors over the blinking dynamics of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-24 Henning Kruesemann , Aljaz Godec , Ralf Metzler

The excursion set theory, where density perturbations evolve stochastically with the smoothing scale, provides a method for computing the dark matter halo mass function. The computation of the mass function is mapped into the so-called…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-01-05 Andrea De Simone , Michele Maggiore , Antonio Riotto

In this article, we obtain properties of the law associated to the first hitting time of a threshold by a one-dimensional uniformly elliptic diffusion process and to the associated process stopped at the threshold. Our methodology relies on…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Noufel Frikha , Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Libo Li

We present a method that allows, under suitable equivariance and regularity conditions, to determine the Poisson boundary of a diffusion starting from the Poisson boundary of a sub-diffusion of the original one. We then give two examples of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-19 Jürgen Angst , Camille Tardif

The multifractal behavior of the normalized first passage time is investigated on the two dimensional Sierpinski gasket with both absorbing and reflecting barriers. The normalized first passage time for Sinai model and the logistic model to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kyungsik Kim , J. S. Choi , Y. S. Kong

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

The aim of this paper is the analysis of the fractional Poisson process where the state probabilities $p_k^{\nu_k}(t)$, $t\ge 0$, are governed by time-fractional equations of order $0<\nu_k\leq 1$ depending on the number $k$ of events…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Roberto Garra , Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

We prove consistency of four different approaches to formalizing the idea of minimum average edge-length in a path linking some infinite subset of points of a Poisson process. The approaches are (i) shortest path from origin through some…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Aldous , Maxim Krikun

We consider the problem of optimising the expected value of a loss functional over a nonlinear model class of functions, assuming that we have only access to realisations of the gradient of the loss. This is a classical task in statistics,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Robert Gruhlke , Anthony Nouy , Philipp Trunschke

Many transport processes in ecology, physics and biochemistry can be described by the average time to first find a site or exit a region, starting from an initial position. Typical mathematical treatments are based on formulations that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Thomas Hillen , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Jacob C. Mantooth , Alan E. Lindsay

The solution to Poisson's equation arise in many Markov chain and Markov jump process settings, including that of the central limit theorem, value functions for average reward Markov decision processes, and within the gradient formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Saied Mahdian , Peter W. Glynn , Yuanyuan Liu

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process of diffusion in the harmonic potential is re-examined in the context of the first-passage time problem. We investigate this problem to the extent that it has not yet been fully resolved and demonstrate exact…

General Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Przemyslaw Chelminiak
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