English

A note on the times of first passage for `nearly right-continuous' random walks

Probability 2014-08-13 v2

Abstract

A natural extension of a right-continuous integer-valued random walk is one which can jump to the right by one or two units. First passage times above a given fixed level then admit a tractable Laplace transform (probability generating function). Explicit expressions for the probabilities that the respective overshoots are either 00 or 11, according as the random walk crosses a given level for the first time either continuously or not, also obtain. An interesting non-obvious observation, which follows from the analysis, is that any such (non-degenerate) random walk will, eventually in nN{0}n\in \mathbb{N}\cup \{0\}, always be more likely to pass over the level nn for the first time with overshoot zero, rather than one. Some applications are considered.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1310.6661,
  title  = {A note on the times of first passage for `nearly right-continuous' random walks},
  author = {Matija Vidmar},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1310.6661},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

10 pages, 1 figure