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We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

We present a computationally efficient framework, called $\texttt{FlowDRO}$, for solving flow-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with Wasserstein uncertainty sets while aiming to find continuous worst-case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Chen Xu , Jonghyeok Lee , Xiuyuan Cheng , Yao Xie

This paper focuses on solving a data-driven distributionally robust optimization problem over a network of agents. The agents aim to minimize the worst-case expected cost computed over a Wasserstein ambiguity set that is centered at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Ashish Cherukuri , Alireza Zolanvari , Goran Banjac , Ashish R. Hota

By their very nature, rare event probabilities are expensive to compute; they are also delicate to estimate as their value strongly depends on distributional assumptions on the model parameters. Hence, understanding the sensitivity of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Michael Merritt , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre Gremaud

This paper presents a framework for Wasserstein distributionally robust (DR) regret-optimal (RO) control in the context of partially observable systems. DR-RO control considers the regret in LQR cost between a causal and non-causal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-12 Joudi Hajar , Taylan Kargin , Babak Hassibi

Large-scale rare events data are commonly encountered in practice. To tackle the massive rare events data, we propose a novel distributed estimation method for logistic regression in a distributed system. For a distributed framework, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-06 Xuetong Li , Xuening Zhu , Hansheng Wang

In state estimation tasks, the usual assumption of exactly known disturbance distribution is often unrealistic and renders the estimator fragile in practice. The recently emerging Wasserstein distributionally robust state estimation (DRSE)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Yulin Feng , Xianyu Li , Steven X. Ding , Hao Ye , Chao Shang

We consider decision-making problems under decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU), where the distribution of uncertain parameters depends on the decision variables and is only observable through a finite offline dataset. To address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Chengrui Qu , Huiwen Jia , Pengcheng You

Automated Vehicle (AV) validation based on simulated testing requires unbiased evaluation and high efficiency. One effective solution is to increase the exposure to risky rare events while reweighting the probability measure. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Yichun Ye , He Zhang , Ye Tian , Jian Sun , Karl Meinke

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Wasserstein distributionally robust estimators have emerged as powerful models for prediction and decision-making under uncertainty. These estimators provide attractive generalization guarantees: the robust objective obtained from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Waïss Azizian , Franck Iutzeler , Jérôme Malick

Stochastic and (distributionally) robust optimization problems often become computationally challenging as the number of scenarios or data points increases. Scenario reduction is therefore a key technique for improving tractability. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Kevin-Martin Aigner , Sebastian Denzler , Frauke Liers , Sebastian Pokutta , Kartikey Sharma

We study a model for adversarial classification based on distributionally robust chance constraints. We show that under Wasserstein ambiguity, the model aims to minimize the conditional value-at-risk of the distance to misclassification,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Nam Ho-Nguyen , Stephen J. Wright

We show that several machine learning estimators, including square-root LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection) and regularized logistic regression can be represented as solutions to distributionally robust optimization (DRO)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-22 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Karthyek Murthy

We develop a new algorithm for the estimation of rare event probabilities associated with the steady-state of a Markov stochastic process with continuous state space $\mathbb R^d$ and discrete time steps (i.e. a discrete-time $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Krzysztof Bisewski , Daan Crommelin , Michel Mandjes

We propose REpresentation-Aware Distributionally Robust Estimation (READ), a novel framework for Wasserstein distributionally robust learning that accounts for predictive representations when guarding against distributional shifts. Unlike…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-12 Zitao Wang , Nian Si , Molei Liu

Domain generalization aims at learning a universal model that performs well on unseen target domains, incorporating knowledge from multiple source domains. In this research, we consider the scenario where different domain shifts occur among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jingge Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Shao-Lun Huang , Yang Li

Differential dynamic programming (DDP) is a popular technique for solving nonlinear optimal control problems with locally quadratic approximations. However, existing DDP methods are not designed for stochastic systems with unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-18 Astghik Hakobyan , Insoon Yang

We propose a mathematically principled PDE gradient flow framework for distributionally robust optimization (DRO). Exploiting the recent advances in the intersection of Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling and gradient flow theory, we show…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Zusen Xu , Jia-Jie Zhu

Standard stochastic control methods assume that the probability distribution of uncertain variables is available. Unfortunately, in practice, obtaining accurate distribution information is a challenging task. To resolve this issue, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Insoon Yang
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