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Related papers: Testing Monotonicity in a Finite Population

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We explore and relate two notions of monotonicity, stochastic and realizable, for a system of probability measures on a common finite partially ordered set (poset) S when the measures are indexed by another poset A. We give counterexamples…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 James Allen Fill , Motoya Machida

Bayesian and frequentist criteria fundamentally differ, but often posterior and sampling distributions agree asymptotically (e.g., Gaussian with same covariance). For the corresponding single-draw experiment, we characterize the frequentist…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-04 David M. Kaplan , Longhao Zhuo

This work investigates whether time series of natural phenomena can be understood as being generated by sequences of latent states which are ordered in systematic and regular ways. We focus on clinical time series and ask whether clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Michael Hagmann , Michael Staniek , Stefan Riezler

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become increasingly important in many fields. In this paper we study distributions and quantiles of individual treatment effects to provide a more comprehensive and robust understanding of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Zhe Chen , Xinran Li

Randomized saturation designs are a family of designs which assign a possibly different treatment proportion to each cluster of a population at random. As a result, they generalize the well-known (stratified) completely randomized designs…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Chencheng Cai , Jean Pouget-Abadie , Edoardo M. Airoldi

This paper considers the identification of treatment effects on conditional transition probabilities. We show that even under random assignment only the instantaneous average treatment effect is point identified. Since treated and control…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-09-27 Johan Vikström , Geert Ridder , Martin Weidner

We give several new characterizations of completely monotone functions and Bernstein functions via two approaches: the first one is driven algebraically via elementary preserving mappings and the second one is developed in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-17 Rafik Aguech , Wissem Jedidi

We simplify the proof of some widely used theoretical theorems, extending their applicability, while correcting some erroneous results. We also generalize key results and present new results that contribute to the development of the theory.…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-10-02 V. E. Sándor Szabó

The idea of monotonicity (or positive-definiteness in the linear case) is shown to be the central theme of the solution theories associated with problems of mathematical physics. A "grand unified" setting is surveyed covering a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Rainer Picard , Sascha Trostorff , Marcus Waurick

We propose a frequentist testing procedure that maintains a defined coverage and is optimal in the sense that it gives maximal power to detect deviations from a null hypothesis when the alternative to the null hypothesis is sampled from a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Christian Bartels , Johanna Mielke , Ekkehard Glimm

A natural experiment is a type of observational study in which treatment assignment, though not randomized by the investigator, is plausibly close to random. A process that assigns treatments in a highly nonrandom, inequitable manner may,…

Applications · Statistics 2015-01-20 José R. Zubizarreta , Dylan S. Small , Paul R. Rosenbaum

We consider the following comparative effectiveness scenario. There are two treatments for a particular medical condition: a randomized experiment has demonstrated mediocre effectiveness for the first treatment, while a non-randomized study…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-23 Brian Knaeble , Erich Kummerfeld

We consider the problem of estimating personalized treatment policies that are "externally valid" or "generalizable": they perform well in target populations that differ from the experimental (or training) population from which the data are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-10 Christopher Adjaho , Timothy Christensen

We study the identification and estimation of treatment effect parameters in weakly separable models. In their seminal work, Vytlacil and Yildiz (2007) showed how to identify and estimate the average treatment effect of a dummy endogenous…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-06 Songnian Chen , Shakeeb Khan , Xun Tang

This paper considers the problem of inference in observational studies with time-varying adoption of treatment. In addition to an unconfoundedness assumption that the potential outcomes are independent of the times at which units adopt…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Azeem Shaikh , Panos Toulis

The positivity assumption is central in the identification of a causal effect, and especially the stochastic variant is an issue many applied researchers face, yet is rarely discussed, especially in conjunction with continuous treatments or…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-03 Katharina Ring , Michael Schomaker

With the advent of high-performance computing, Bayesian methods are increasingly popular tools for the quantification of uncertainty throughout science and industry. Since these methods impact the making of sometimes critical decisions in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan

We study the problem of detecting a drift change of a Brownian motion under various extensions of the classical case. Specifically, we consider the case of a random post-change drift and examine monotonicity properties of the solution with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

In a general set-up that allows unmeasured confounding, we show that the conditional average treatment effect on the treated can be identified as one of two possible values. Unlike existing causal inference methods, we do not require an…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Zikun Qin , Bikram Karmakar

Scientific researchers utilize randomized experiments to draw casual statements. Most early studies as well as current work on experiments with sequential intervention decisions has been focusing on estimating the causal effects among…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Jingying Zeng