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Related papers: Surrogate-Powered Inference: Regularization and Ad…

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We develop a method to generate prediction sets with a guaranteed coverage rate that is robust to corruptions in the training data, such as missing or noisy variables. Our approach builds on conformal prediction, a powerful framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Shai Feldman , Yaniv Romano

The expense of acquiring labels in large-scale statistical machine learning makes partially and weakly-labeled data attractive, though it is not always apparent how to leverage such data for model fitting or validation. We present a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-10 Maxime Cauchois , Suyash Gupta , Alnur Ali , John Duchi

Surrogate variables in electronic health records (EHR) and biobank data play an important role in biomedical studies due to the scarcity or absence of chart-reviewed gold standard labels. We develop a novel approach named SASH for {\bf…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-04 Yue Liu , Molei Liu , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is emerging as a new statistical paradigm for addressing complex scientific inference problems. By leveraging the representational power of deep neural networks, SBI can extract the most informative…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-17 Huifang Lyu , James Alvey , Noemi Anau Montel , Mauro Pieroni , Christoph Weniger

Stochastic variational inference (SVI) plays a key role in Bayesian deep learning. Recently various divergences have been proposed to design the surrogate loss for variational inference. We present a simple upper bound of the evidence as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Chunlin Ji , Haige Shen

Stochastic inverse problems are generally solved by some form of finite sampling of a space of uncertain parameters. For computationally expensive models, surrogate response surfaces are often employed to increase the number of samples used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Steven Mattis , Barbara Wohlmuth

Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) offers fast, scalable approximations to posterior densities by training neural surrogates on data simulated from the statistical model. However, ABI methods are highly sensitive to model misspecification:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Šimon Kucharský , Aayush Mishra , Daniel Habermann , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

When outcome data are expensive or onerous to collect, scientists increasingly substitute predictions from machine learning and AI models for unlabeled cases, a process which has consequences for downstream statistical inference. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Stephen Salerno , Zhenke Wu , Tyler McCormick

Bayesian parameter inference is useful to improve Li-ion battery diagnostics and can help formulate battery aging models. However, it is computationally intensive and cannot be easily repeated for multiple cycles, multiple operating…

Decision support systems often rely on solving complex optimization problems that may require to estimate uncertain parameters beforehand. Recent studies have shown how using traditionally trained estimators for this task can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Gaetano Signorelli , Michele Lombardi

We consider the recovery of regression coefficients, denoted by $\boldsymbol{\beta}_0$, for a single index model (SIM) relating a binary outcome $Y$ to a set of possibly high dimensional covariates $\boldsymbol{X}$, based on a large but…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Abhishek Chakrabortty , Matey Neykov , Raymond Carroll , Tianxi Cai

Preference-based reinforcement learning (RL) has shown potential for teaching agents to perform the target tasks without a costly, pre-defined reward function by learning the reward with a supervisor's preference between the two agent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Jongjin Park , Younggyo Seo , Jinwoo Shin , Honglak Lee , Pieter Abbeel , Kimin Lee

Offline optimization is an important task in numerous material engineering domains where online experimentation to collect data is too expensive and needs to be replaced by an in silico maximization of a surrogate of the black-box function.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Manh Cuong Dao , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang

Machine learning surrogates are increasingly used in engineering to accelerate costly simulations, yet distribution shifts between training and deployment often cause severe performance degradation (e.g., unseen geometries or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Anna Zimmel , Paul Setinek , Gianluca Galletti , Johannes Brandstetter , Werner Zellinger

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a popular strategy for combining gold-standard and possibly noisy pseudo-labels to perform statistical estimation. Prior work has shown an asymptotic "free lunch" for PPI++, an adaptive form of PPI,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Pranav Mani , Peng Xu , Zachary C. Lipton , Michael Oberst

Collecting web data to train deep models has become increasingly common, raising concerns about unauthorized data usage. To mitigate this issue, unlearnable examples introduce imperceptible perturbations into data, preventing models from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Jinlin Liu , Wei Chen , Xiaojin Zhang

The cost of annotating transcriptions for large speech corpora becomes a bottleneck to maximally enjoy the potential capacity of deep neural network-based automatic speech recognition models. In this paper, we present a new training…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-06 Jihwan Bang , Heesu Kim , YoungJoon Yoo , Jung-Woo Ha

Label noise is a pervasive problem in deep learning that often compromises the generalization performance of trained models. Recently, leveraging privileged information (PI) -- information available only during training but not at test time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Ke Wang , Guillermo Ortiz-Jimenez , Rodolphe Jenatton , Mark Collier , Efi Kokiopoulou , Pascal Frossard

In the partially-observed outcome setting, a recent set of proposals known as "prediction-powered inference" (PPI) involve (i) applying a pre-trained machine learning model to predict the response, and then (ii) using these predictions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Runjia Zou , Daniela Witten , Brian Williamson

A central challenge in many areas of science and engineering is to identify model parameters that are consistent with prior knowledge and empirical data. Bayesian inference offers a principled framework for this task, but can be…

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