English
Related papers

Related papers: Surrogate-Powered Inference: Regularization and Ad…

200 papers

Supervised machine learning describes the practice of fitting a parameterized model to labeled input-output data. Supervised machine learning methods have demonstrated promise in learning efficient surrogate models that can (partially)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Atticus Rex , Elizabeth Qian , David Peterson

In semi-supervised learning, the prevailing understanding suggests that observing additional unlabeled samples improves estimation accuracy for linear parameters only in the case of model misspecification. In this work, we challenge such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Kai Chen , Yuqian Zhang

While reliable data-driven decision-making hinges on high-quality labeled data, the acquisition of quality labels often involves laborious human annotations or slow and expensive scientific measurements. Machine learning is becoming an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-01 Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel J. Candès

Strictly proper scoring rules (SPSR) are incentive compatible for eliciting information about random variables from strategic agents when the principal can reward agents after the realization of the random variables. They also quantify the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yang Liu , Juntao Wang , Yiling Chen

We present a framework for automatically structuring and training fast, approximate, deep neural surrogates of stochastic simulators. Unlike traditional approaches to surrogate modeling, our surrogates retain the interpretable structure and…

Data integration methods aim to extract low-dimensional embeddings from high-dimensional outcomes to remove unwanted variations, such as batch effects and unmeasured covariates, across heterogeneous datasets. However, multiple hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Jin-Hong Du , Kathryn Roeder , Larry Wasserman

$U$-statistics play a central role in statistical inference. In many modern applications, however, acquiring the labels required for $U$-statistics is costly. Motivated by recent advances in active inference, we develop an active inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Xiaoning Wang , Yuyang Huo , Liuhua Peng , Changliang Zou

We investigate the effectiveness of a simple solution to the common problem of deep learning in medical image analysis with limited quantities of labeled training data. The underlying idea is to assign artificial labels to abundantly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Nima Tajbakhsh , Yufei Hu , Junli Cao , Xingjian Yan , Yi Xiao , Yong Lu , Jianming Liang , Demetri Terzopoulos , Xiaowei Ding

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Surrogate models - also called emulators - are widely used to facilitate Bayesian inference in settings where computational costs preclude the use of standard posterior inference algorithms. Their deployment is now standard practice across…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Andrew Gerard Roberts , Michael C. Dietze , Jonathan H. Huggins

Patient-reported outcome (PRO) measures are increasingly collected as a means of measuring healthcare quality and value. The capability to predict such measures enables patient-provider shared decision making and the delivery of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Jaeyoung Park , Muxuan Liang , Ying-Qi Zhao , Xiang Zhong

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) arises in practice when labeled data are scarce or expensive to obtain, while large quantities of unlabeled data are readily available. With the growing adoption of machine learning techniques, it has become…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Jiawei Shan , Zhifeng Chen , Yiming Dong , Yazhen Wang , Jiwei Zhao

Modern studies increasingly leverage outcomes predicted by machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI/ML) models, and recent work, such as prediction-powered inference (PPI), has developed valid downstream statistical inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yiqun T. Chen , Moran Guo , Shengy Li

The availability of fast to evaluate and reliable predictive models is highly relevant in multi-query scenarios where evaluating some quantities in real, or near-real-time becomes crucial. As a result, reduced-order modelling techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-04 Aarón Villanueva , Martin Beroiz , Juan Cabral , Martin Chalela , Mariano Dominguez

In this paper, we study a classification problem in which sample labels are randomly corrupted. In this scenario, there is an unobservable sample with noise-free labels. However, before being observed, the true labels are independently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-21 Tongliang Liu , Dacheng Tao

Transmission expansion planning (TEP) plays a critical role in ensuring power system reliability and facilitating the integration of renewable energy resources. However, this process requires planners to constantly deal with significant…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Victor Schmitt , Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Angela Flores-Quiroz , Pablo Apablaza , Pierluigi Mancarella

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown great success in estimating sequential treatment strategies which take into account patient heterogeneity. However, health-outcome information, which is used as the reward for reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Aaron Sonabend-W , Nilanjana Laha , Ashwin N. Ananthakrishnan , Tianxi Cai , Rajarshi Mukherjee

Prediction-powered inference (PPI) enables valid statistical inference by combining experimental data with machine learning predictions. When a sufficient number of high-quality predictions is available, PPI results in more accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-18 Stefano Cortinovis , François Caron

Offline optimization has recently emerged as an increasingly popular approach to mitigate the prohibitively expensive cost of online experimentation. The key idea is to learn a surrogate of the black-box function that underlines the target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Manh Cuong Dao , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang