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The COVID-19 pandemic's severe impact highlighted the need for accurate and timely hospitalization forecasting to support effective healthcare planning. However, most forecasting models struggled, particularly during variant surges, when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Zhongying Wang , Thoai D. Ngo , Hamidreza Zoraghein , Benjamin Lucas , Morteza Karimzadeh

Objective: To develop and evaluate machine learning (ML) models for predicting length of stay (LOS) in elective spine surgery, with a focus on the benefits of temporal modeling and model interpretability. Materials and Methods: We compared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Ha Na Cho , Sairam Sutari , Alexander Lopez , Hansen Bow , Kai Zheng

The task of predicting long-term patient outcomes using supervised machine learning is a challenging one, in part because of the high variance of each patient's trajectory, which can result in the model over-fitting to the training data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Thomas Frost , Kezhi Li , Steve Harris

We aim to assess the impact of a pandemic data point on the calibration of a stochastic multi-population mortality projection model and its resulting projections for future mortality rates. Throughout the paper we put focus on the Li & Lee…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-22 Jens Robben , Katrien Antonio , Sander Devriendt

Global oil demand is rapidly increasing and is expected to reach 106.3 million barrels per day by 2040. Thus, it is vital for hydrocarbon extraction industries to forecast their production to optimize their operations and avoid losses. Big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Siavash Hosseini , Thangarajah Akilan

We describe two recently proposed machine learning approaches for discovering emerging trends in fatal accidental drug overdoses. The Gaussian Process Subset Scan enables early detection of emerging patterns in spatio-temporal data,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-10-09 Daniel B. Neill , William Herlands

COVID-19 is a pandemic disease that began to rapidly spread in the US with the first case detected on January 19, 2020, in Washington State. March 9, 2020, and then increased rapidly with total cases of 25,739 as of April 20, 2020. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Shashank Reddy Vadyala , Sai Nethra Betgeri , Eric A. Sherer , Amod Amritphale

Time series forecasting has seen many methods attempted over the past few decades, including traditional technical analysis, algorithmic statistical models, and more recent machine learning and artificial intelligence approaches. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Harshal Patel , Bharath Kumar Bolla , Sabeesh E , Dinesh Reddy

Drug overdose remains a critical global health issue, often driven by misuse of opioids, painkillers, and psychiatric medications. Traditional research methods face limitations, whereas social media offers real-time insights into…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Muhammad Ahmad , Fida Ullah , Muhammad Usman , Umyh Habiba , ldar Batyrshin , Grigori Sidorov

Diabetes mellitus is a chronic metabolic disorder that has emerged as one of the major health problems worldwide due to its high prevalence and serious complications, which are pricey to manage. Effective management requires good glycemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Abolfazl Zarghani

The last two centuries have seen a significant increase in life expectancy. Although past trends suggest that mortality will continue to decline in the future, uncertainty and instability about the development is greatly increased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-28 Asmik Nalmpatian , Christian Heumann , Stefan Pilz

SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and…

Objective: COVID-19 has spread worldwide and made a huge influence across the world. Modeling the infectious spread situation of COVID-19 is essential to understand the current condition and to formulate intervention measurements.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Ruhan Liu , Jiajia Li , Yang Wen , Huating Li , Ping Zhang , Bin Sheng , David Dagan Feng

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in digital pathology applications. The robustness of a diagnostic DL-based solution is essential for safe clinical deployment. In this work we evaluate if adding uncertainty estimates for DL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-23 Milda Pocevičiūtė , Gabriel Eilertsen , Sofia Jarkman , Claes Lundström

Predictive models with a focus on different spatial-temporal scales benefit governments and healthcare systems to combat the COVID-19 pandemic. Here we present the conditional Long Short-Term Memory networks with Quantile output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 HyeongChan Jo , Juhyun Kim , Tzu-Chen Huang , Yu-Li Ni

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Accurate predictive models are crucial for analysing COVID-19 mortality trends. This study evaluates the impact of a custom data preprocessing pipeline on ten machine learning models predicting COVID-19 mortality using data from Our World…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Sangita Das , Subhrajyoti Maji

For severely affected COVID-19 patients, it is crucial to identify high-risk patients and predict survival and need for intensive care (ICU). Most of the proposed models are not well reported making them less reproducible and prone to high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Mahbubunnabi Tamala , Mohammad Marufur Rahmanb , Maryam Alhasimc , Mobarak Al Mulhimd , Mohamed Derichee

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin
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