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Early identification of at-risk students is critical for effective intervention in online learning environments. This study extends temporal prediction analysis to Week 20 (50% of course duration), comparing Decision Tree and Long Short-…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Vaarunay Kaushal , Rajib Mall

The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by SARS-CoV-2, highlighted the critical need for accurate prediction of disease severity to optimize healthcare resource allocation and patient management. The spike protein, which facilitates viral entry into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Caio Cheohen , Vinnícius M. S. Gomes , Manuela L. da Silva

Forecasting meteorological variables is challenging due to the complexity of their processes, requiring advanced models for accuracy. Accurate precipitation forecasts are vital for society. Reliable predictions help communities mitigate…

Imagine a patient in critical condition. What and when should be measured to forecast detrimental events, especially under the budget constraints? We answer this question by deep reinforcement learning (RL) that jointly minimizes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Chun-Hao Chang , Mingjie Mai , Anna Goldenberg

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the fifth-leading cause of death among Americans aged 65 and older. Screening and early detection of AD and related dementias (ADRD) are critical for timely intervention and for identifying clinical trial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Jiankun Wang , Sumyeong Ahn , Taykhoom Dalal , Xiaodan Zhang , Weishen Pan , Qiannan Zhang , Bin Chen , Hiroko H. Dodge , Fei Wang , Jiayu Zhou

State-level policy evaluations commonly employ a difference-in-differences (DID) study design; yet within this framework, statistical model specification varies notably across studies. Motivated by applied state-level opioid policy…

This paper examines the association between police drug seizures and drug overdose deaths in Ohio from 2014 to 2018. We use linear regression, ARIMA models, and categorical data analysis to quantify the effect of drug seizure composition…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-30 Lin Ma , Lam Tran , David White

It is increasingly common to encounter prediction tasks in the biomedical sciences for which multiple datasets are available for model training. Common approaches such as pooling datasets and applying standard statistical learning methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Gabriel Loewinger , Rolando Acosta Nunez , Rahul Mazumder , Giovanni Parmigiani

The optimal learner for prediction modeling varies depending on the underlying data-generating distribution. Super Learner (SL) is a generic ensemble learning algorithm that uses cross-validation to select among a "library" of candidate…

With the growing imbalance between limited medical resources and escalating demands, AI-based clinical tasks have become paramount. As a sub-domain, medication recommendation aims to amalgamate longitudinal patient history with medical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Xiang Li , Shunpan Liang , Yulei Hou , Tengfei Ma

In the context of time-series forecasting, we propose a LSTM-based recurrent neural network architecture and loss function that enhance the stability of the predictions. In particular, the loss function penalizes the model, not only on the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-09 Maxime De Bois , Mounîm A. El Yacoubi , Mehdi Ammi

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu

Social media platforms provide valuable insights into mental health trends by capturing user-generated discussions on conditions such as depression, anxiety, and suicidal ideation. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Zhanyi Ding , Zhongyan Wang , Yeyubei Zhang , Yuchen Cao , Yunchong Liu , Xiaorui Shen , Yexin Tian , Jianglai Dai

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global public health crisis that has been declared a pandemic by World Health Organization. Forecasting country-wise COVID-19 cases is necessary to help policymakers and healthcare providers prepare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Arko Barman

Electric consumption prediction methods are investigated for many reasons such as decision-making related to energy efficiency as well as for anticipating demand in the energy market dynamics. The objective of the present work is the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Davi Guimarães da Silva , Anderson Alvarenga de Moura Meneses

Early detection of cognitive impairment is critical for timely diagnosis and intervention, yet infrequent clinical assessments often lack the sensitivity and temporal resolution to capture subtle cognitive declines in older adults. Passive…

Recent advances in machine learning have made significant contributions to drug discovery. Deep neural networks in particular have been demonstrated to provide significant boosts in predictive power when inferring the properties and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Han Altae-Tran , Bharath Ramsundar , Aneesh S. Pappu , Vijay Pande

We propose Deep Longitudinal Targeted Minimum Loss-based Estimation (Deep LTMLE), a novel approach to estimate the counterfactual mean of outcome under dynamic treatment policies in longitudinal problem settings. Our approach utilizes a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Toru Shirakawa , Yi Li , Yulun Wu , Sky Qiu , Yuxuan Li , Mingduo Zhao , Hiroyasu Iso , Mark van der Laan

This study evaluates deep neural networks for forecasting probability distributions of financial returns. 1D convolutional neural networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) architectures are used to forecast parameters of three…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Jakub Michańków

Based on the comprehensive national death registry of Mexico spanning from 1998 to 2022 a point and interval estimation method for the excess mortality in Mexico during the years 2020-2022 is proposed based on illness-induced deaths only,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-12 Andreu Comas-García , Arturo Erdely