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Uplift modeling is a key technique for promotion optimization in recommender systems, but standard methods typically fail to account for interference, where treating one item affects the outcomes of others. This violation of the Stable Unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Bram van den Akker

We develop Upside-Down Reinforcement Learning (UDRL), a method for learning to act using only supervised learning techniques. Unlike traditional algorithms, UDRL does not use reward prediction or search for an optimal policy. Instead, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Rupesh Kumar Srivastava , Pranav Shyam , Filipe Mutz , Wojciech Jaśkowski , Jürgen Schmidhuber

A key challenge in multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) lies in designing learning signals that effectively promote coordination among agents. Designing such signals requires estimating how one agent's current action affects its…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Haohan Yu , Jinmiao Cong , Shengzhi Wang , Lu Wang , Chanjuan Liu

In this paper, we introduce a novel reinforcement learning framework for optimal trade execution in a limit order book. We formulate the trade execution problem as a dynamic allocation task whose objective is the optimal placement of market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Patrick Cheridito , Moritz Weiss

The sales process involves sales functions converting leads or opportunities to customers and selling more products to existing customers. The optimization of the sales process thus is key to success of any B2B business. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Liyang Zhao , Olurotimi Seton , Himadeep Reddy Reddivari , Suvendu Jena , Shadow Zhao , Rachit Kumar , Changshuai Wei

Bargaining can be used to resolve mixed-motive games in multi-agent systems. Although there is an abundance of negotiation strategies implemented in automated negotiating agents, most agents are based on single fixed strategies, while it is…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Bram M. Renting , Holger H. Hoos , Catholijn M. Jonker

Classification tasks are common across many fields and applications where the decision maker's action is limited by resource constraints. In direct marketing only a subset of customers is contacted; scarce human resources limit the number…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-21 Galit Shmueli

Uplift modeling has achieved significant success in various fields, particularly in online marketing. It is a method that primarily utilizes machine learning and deep learning to estimate individual treatment effects. This paper we apply…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

In this manuscript (ms), we propose causal inference based single-branch ensemble trees for uplift modeling, namely CIET. Different from standard classification methods for predictive probability modeling, CIET aims to achieve the change in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Fanglan Zheng , Menghan Wang , Kun Li , Jiang Tian , Xiaojia Xiang

Recommender systems have emerged as a new weapon to help online firms to realize many of their strategic goals (e.g., to improve sales, revenue, customer experience etc.). However, many existing techniques commonly approach these goals by…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2012-12-11 Shuang-Hong Yang

Undertaking causal inference with observational data is incredibly useful across a wide range of tasks including the development of medical treatments, advertisements and marketing, and policy making. There are two significant challenges…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-19 Matthew James Vowels , Necati Cihan Camgoz , Richard Bowden

Motivated by the recent popularity of machine learning training services, we introduce a contract design problem in which a provider sells a service that results in an outcome of uncertain quality for the buyer. The seller has a set of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Krishnamurthy Iyer , Alec Sun , Haifeng Xu , You Zu

Uplift modeling requires experimental data, preferably collected in random fashion. This places a logistical and financial burden upon any organisation aspiring such models. Once deployed, uplift models are subject to effects from concept…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Jeroen Berrevoets , Wouter Verbeke

This paper proposes an approach to analyze an event log of a business process in order to generate case-level recommendations of treatments that maximize the probability of a given outcome. Users classify the attributes in the event log…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-04 Zahra Dasht Bozorgi , Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Artem Polyvyanyy

Despite the advantages of multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) for wireless use case such as medium access control (MAC), their real-world deployment in Internet of Things (IoT) is hindered by their sample inefficiency. To alleviate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Aswin Arun , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Rimalpudi Sarvendranath , Walid Saad

In many areas of industry and society, e.g., energy, healthcare, logistics, agents collect vast amounts of data that they deem proprietary. These data owners extract predictive information of varying quality and relevance from data…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-07 Aitazaz Ali Raja , Pierre Pinson , Jalal Kazempour , Sergio Grammatico

Aiming to overcome some of the limitations of worst-case analysis, the recently proposed framework of "algorithms with predictions" allows algorithms to be augmented with a (possibly erroneous) machine-learned prediction that they can use…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Eric Balkanski , Vasilis Gkatzelis , Xizhi Tan , Cherlin Zhu

Promotions have been trending in the e-commerce marketplace to build up customer relationships and guide customers towards the desired actions. Since incentives are effective to engage customers and customers have different preferences for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Jie Yang , Yilin Li , Deddy Jobson

When making treatment selection decisions, it is essential to include a causal effect estimation analysis to compare potential outcomes under different treatments or controls, assisting in optimal selection. However, merely estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-08 Sherly Alfonso-Sánchez , Kristina P. Sendova , Cristián Bravo

The research identifies association rules that can inform marketing strategies and enhance operational efficiency. A structured methodology is applied to extract and interpret meaningful relationships within transactional data, emphasizing…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Marina Kholod , Nikita Mokrenko