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The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

Bayesian modelling enables us to accommodate complex forms of data and make a comprehensive inference, but the effect of partial misspecification of the model is a concern. One approach in this setting is to modularize the model, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yang Liu , Robert J. B. Goudie

Inference in semi-supervised (SS) settings has gained substantial attention in recent years due to increased relevance in modern big-data problems. In a typical SS setting, there is a much larger-sized unlabeled data, containing only…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Gözde Sert , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Anirban Bhattacharya

In public health management there is a need to produce subnational estimates of health outcomes. Often, however, funds are not available to collect samples large enough to produce traditional survey sample estimates for each subnational…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Donald Malec , Peter Müller

In semantic segmentation, the accuracy of models heavily depends on the high-quality annotations. However, in many practical scenarios, such as medical imaging and remote sensing, obtaining true annotations is not straightforward and…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Ryu Tadokoro , Tsukasa Takagi , Shin-ichi Maeda

We introduce a general hierarchical Bayesian framework that incorporates a flexible nonparametric data model specification through the use of empirical likelihood methodology, which we term semiparametric hierarchical empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-16 Aaron T. Porter , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

A conditional expectation function (CEF) can at best be partially identified when the conditioning variable is interval censored. When the number of bins is small, existing methods often yield minimally informative bounds. We propose three…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-01 Sam Asher , Paul Novosad , Charlie Rafkin

Bayesian predictive inference analyzes a dataset to make predictions about new observations. When a model does not match the data, predictive accuracy suffers. We develop population empirical Bayes (POP-EB), a hierarchical framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-10 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

Divide-and-conquer based methods for Bayesian inference provide a general approach for tractable posterior inference when the sample size is large. These methods divide the data into smaller subsets, sample from the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Cheng Li , David B. Dunson

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

Motivation: Recent advances in technology for brain imaging and high-throughput genotyping have motivated studies examining the influence of genetic variation on brain structure. Wang et al. (Bioinformatics, 2012) have developed an approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-18 Keelin Greenlaw , Elena Szefer , Jinko Graham , Mary Lesperance , Farouk S. Nathoo

The multivariate Fay-Herriot model is quite effective in combining information through correlations among small area survey estimates of related variables or historical survey estimates of the same variable or both. Though the literature on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-29 Takumi Saegusa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Partha Lahiri

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

We present a method of constructing statistical intervals that obtain a natural middle ground between Bayesian and frequentist statistical intervals, previously unexplored in literature: To a p% Bayesian credible interval we should assign a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Tim Ritmeester

A framework to boost the efficiency of Bayesian inference in probabilistic programs is introduced by embedding a sampler inside a variational posterior approximation. We call it the refined variational approximation. Its strength lies both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-25 Victor Gallego , David Rios Insua

Early in an infectious disease outbreak, timely and accurate estimation of the basic reproduction number ($R_0$) and the serial interval (SI) is critical for understanding transmission dynamics and informing public health responses. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Tatiana Krikella , Jane M. Heffernan , Hanna Jankowski

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100($1-\alpha)%$ HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Éric Marchand , William E. Strawderman

Amortized Bayesian inference (ABI) offers fast, scalable approximations to posterior densities by training neural surrogates on data simulated from the statistical model. However, ABI methods are highly sensitive to model misspecification:…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Šimon Kucharský , Aayush Mishra , Daniel Habermann , Stefan T. Radev , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Bayesian inference provides a natural framework for updating knowledge as new information becomes available, often in a sequential manner by incorporating datasets in stages or reusing previous posteriors as priors. In practice, this is…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-05-22 Lipei Du