English

On the behavior of Bayesian credible intervals for some restricted parameter space problems

Statistics Theory 2016-08-16 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

For estimating a positive normal mean, Zhang and Woodroofe (2003) as well as Roe and Woodroofe (2000) investigate 100(1α)1-\alpha)% HPD credible sets associated with priors obtained as the truncation of noninformative priors onto the restricted parameter space. Namely, they establish the attractive lower bound of 1α1+α\frac{1-\alpha}{1+\alpha} for the frequentist coverage probability of these procedures. In this work, we establish that the lower bound of 1α1+α\frac{1-\alpha}{1+\alpha} is applicable for a substantially more general setting with underlying distributional symmetry, and obtain various other properties. The derivations are unified and are driven by the choice of a right Haar invariant prior. Investigations of non-symmetric models are carried out and similar results are obtained. Namely, (i) we show that the lower bound 1α1+α\frac{1-\alpha}{1+\alpha} still applies for certain types of asymmetry (or skewness), and (ii) we extend results obtained by Zhang and Woodroofe (2002) for estimating the scale parameter of a Fisher distribution; which arises in estimating the ratio of variance components in a one-way balanced random effects ANOVA. Finally, various examples illustrating the wide scope of applications are expanded upon. Examples include estimating parameters in location models and location-scale models, estimating scale parameters in scale models, estimating linear combinations of location parameters such as differences, estimating ratios of scale parameters, and problems with non-independent observations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.math/0611684,
  title  = {On the behavior of Bayesian credible intervals for some restricted parameter space problems},
  author = {Éric Marchand and William E. Strawderman},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:math/0611684},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/074921706000000635 in the IMS Lecture Notes--Monograph Series (http://www.imstat.org/publications/lecnotes.htm) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)