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Proof that under simple assumptions, such as constraints of Put-Call Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the mean derived from the forward price which can, but does not have to be the risk-neutral one,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-05 Nassim N. Taleb

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We solve the problem of super-hedging European or Asian options for discrete-time financial market models where executable prices are uncertain. The risky asset prices are not described by single-valued processes but measurable selections…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-16 Meriam El Mansour , Emmanuel Lepinette

The equivalence between multiportfolio time consistency of a dynamic multivariate risk measure and a supermartingale property is proven. Furthermore, the dual variables under which this set-valued supermartingale is a martingale are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-02 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

We consider a nondominated model of a discrete-time financial market where stocks are traded dynamically, and options are available for static hedging. In a general measure-theoretic setting, we show that absence of arbitrage in a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Bruno Bouchard , Marcel Nutz

Strassen's theorem asserts that for given marginal probabilities $\mu,\nu$ there exists a martingale starting in $\mu$ and terminating in $\nu$ if and only if $\mu,\nu$ are in convex order. From a financial perspective, it guarantees the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Beatrice Acciaio , Mathias Beiglböck , Evgeny Kolosov , Gudmund Pammer

In the context of jump-diffusion market models we construct examples that satisfy the weaker no-arbitrage condition of NA1 (NUPBR), but not NFLVR. We show that in these examples the only candidate for the density process of an equivalent…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-30 Jacopo Mancin , Wolfgang J. Runggaldier

Optimal Transport (OT) problems arise in a wide range of applications, from physics to economics. Getting numerical approximate solution of these problems is a challenging issue of practical importance. In this work, we investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Aurélien Alfonsi , Rafaël Coyaud , Virginie Ehrlacher , Damiano Lombardi

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Bruno Remillard , Sylvain Rubenthaler

In this article we prove martingale type pointwise convergence theorems pertaining to tensor product splines defined on $d$-dimensional Euclidean space ($d$ is a positive integer), where conditional expectations are replaced by their…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Markus Passenbrunner

We provide a survey of recent results on model calibration by Optimal Transport. We present the general framework and then discuss the calibration of local, and local-stochastic, volatility models to European options, the joint VIX/SPX…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-06 Ivan Guo , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj , Shiyi Wang

We give a collection of explicit sufficient conditions for the true martingale property of a wide class of exponentials of semimartingales. We express the conditions in terms of semimartingale characteristics. This turns out to be very…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-12 David Criens , Kathrin Glau , Zorana Grbac

We apply convex regularization techniques to the problem of calibrating the local volatility surface model of Dupire taking into account the practical requirement of discrete grids and noisy data. Such requirements are the consequence of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-08-13 Vinicius V. L. Albani , Adriano De Cezaro , Jorge Passamani Zubelli

We develop a non-parametric, semimartingale optimal transport, calibration methodology for local volatility models with stochastic interest rate. The method finds a fully calibrated model which is the closest, in a way that can be defined…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-08 Benjamin Joseph , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj

This paper introduces a martingale that characterizes two properties of evolving forecast distributions. Ideal forecasts of a future event behave as martingales, sequen- tially updating the forecast to leverage the available information as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Dean P. Foster , Robert A. Stine

We study a discrete portfolio pricing problem that selects one price per product from a finite menu under margin and fairness constraints. To account for demand uncertainty, we incorporate a budgeted robust formulation that controls…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Zi Yuan Eric Shao

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 David Xiao

We study a martingale Schr\"odinger bridge problem: given two probability distributions, find their martingale coupling with minimal relative entropy. Our main result provides Schr\"odinger potentials for this coupling. Namely, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Marcel Nutz , Johannes Wiesel

Classical entropy regularization is poorly suited to continuous-time martingale transport, since relative entropy between diffusion laws typically forces their volatility characteristics to coincide. We introduce a specific-entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Francois Buet-Golfouse , Anaïs Després , Zhenjie Ren , Xin Zhang

A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable $q$-exponential bounded contingent claims in an incomplete Brownian motion market setting. The buyer evaluates the contingent claim under the ``distorted Radon-Nikodym derivative'' and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-11 Dejian Tian