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In this paper we consider a method of solving optimal stopping problems in discrete and continuous time based on their dual representation. A novel and generic simulation-based optimization algorithm not involving nested simulations is…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Denis Belomestny

In this paper we investigate the local risk-minimization approach for a semimartingale financial market where there are restrictions on the available information to agents who can observe at least the asset prices. We characterize the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-20 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

We present a numerically efficient approach for learning a risk-neutral measure for paths of simulated spot and option prices up to a finite horizon under convex transaction costs and convex trading constraints. This approach can then be…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Ben Wood

The robust option pricing problem is to find upper and lower bounds on fair prices of financial claims using only the most minimal assumptions. It contrasts with the classical, model-based approach and gained prominence in the wake of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-15 Alexander M. G. Cox , Annemarie M. Grass

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-15 Nicholas S. Gonchar

We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-29 Samuel Cohen , Shaolin Ji , Shige Peng

We study a nonlinear multimarginal optimal transport problem arising in risk management, where the objective is to maximize a spectral risk measure of the pushforward of a coupling by a cost function. Although this problem is inherently…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Adrien Cances , Quentin Mérigot , Luca Nenna

Some classical mass transportation problems are investigated in a finitely additive setting. Let $\Omega=\prod_{i=1}^n\Omega_i$ and $\mathcal{A}=\otimes_{i=1}^n\mathcal{A}_i$, where $(\Omega_i,\mathcal{A}_i,\mu_i)$ is a ($\sigma$-additive)…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Pietro Rigo

We study a stochastic control problem for continuous multidimensional martingales with fixed quadratic variation. In a radially symmetric environment, we are able to find an explicit solution to the control problem and find an optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Alexander M. G. Cox , Benjamin A. Robinson

Given the marginal distribution information of the underlying asset price at two future times $T_1$ and $T_2$, we consider the problem of determining a model-free upper bound on the price of a class of American options that must be…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Tongseok Lim

We are concerned with a new type of supermartingale decomposition in the Max-Plus algebra, which essentially consists in expressing any supermartingale of class $(\mathcal{D})$ as a conditional expectation of some running supremum process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-18 Nicole El Karoui , Asma Meziou

We show that, for the purpose of pricing Swaptions, the Swap rate and the corresponding Forward rates can be considered lognormal under a single martingale measure. Swaptions can then be priced as options on a basket of lognormal assets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexandre d'Aspremont

Let $S^F$ be a $\mathbb{P}$-martingale representing the price of a primitive asset in an incomplete market framework. We present easily verifiable conditions on model coefficients which guarantee the completeness of the market in which in…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-10 Daniel C. Schwarz

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

Under mild regularity assumptions, the transport problem is stable in the following sense: if a sequence of optimal transport plans $\pi_1, \pi_2, \ldots$ converges weakly to a transport plan $\pi$, then $\pi$ is also optimal (between its…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Julio Backhoff-Veraguas , Gudmund Pammer

In the paper, we introduce the notion of a local regular supermartingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures and prove for it the necessary and sufficient conditions of optional Doob decomposition in the discrete case. This…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-04 N. S. Gonchar

We consider the estimation of binary election outcomes as martingales and propose an arbitrage pricing when one continuously updates estimates. We argue that the estimator needs to be priced as a binary option as the arbitrage valuation…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-03 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We consider the fundamental theorem of asset pricing (FTAP) and hedging prices of options under non-dominated model uncertainty and portfolio constrains in discrete time. We first show that no arbitrage holds if and only if there exists…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Zhou Zhou

We propose martingale consumption as a natural, desirable consumption pattern for any given (proportional) investment strategy. The idea is to always adjust current consumption so as to achieve level expected future consumption under the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-28 Peter Holm Nielsen

A convex duality result for martingale optimal transport problems with two marginals was established in Beiglb\"ock et al. (2013). In this paper we provide a generalization of this result to the multi-period setting.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Julian Sester