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Statistical inference for extreme values of random events is difficult in practice due to low sample sizes and inaccurate models for the studied rare events. If prior knowledge for extreme values is available, Bayesian statistics can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Tobias Kallehauge

We derive the stationary fluctuations for the Facilitated Exclusion Process (FEP) in one dimension in the symmetric, weakly asymmetric and asymmetric cases. Our proof relies on the mapping between the FEP and the zero-range process, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-24 Clément Erignoux , Linjie Zhao

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

We introduce a theoretical approach for designing generalizations of the approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm for compressed sensing which are valid for large observation matrices that are drawn from an invariant random matrix…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper , Ole Winther , Bernard H. Fleury

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a cornerstone of causal inference, yet extending it to functional outcomes is not a routine scalar generalization; rather, it entails three fundamental challenges in identification, inference, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Junzhu Nie , Chengxiu Ling , Mengfei Ran

Persistent entropy (PE) is an information-theoretic summary statistic of persistence barcodes that has been widely used to detect regime changes in complex systems. Despite its empirical success, a general theoretical understanding of when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Matteo Rucco

The paper studies the asymptotic behaviour of weighted functionals of long-range dependent data over increasing observation windows. Various important statistics, including sample means, high order moments, occupation measures can be given…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Tareq Alodat , Andriy Olenko

In this paper, we survey some recent results on statistical inference (parametric and nonparametric statistical estimation, hypotheses testing) about the spectrum of stationary models with tapered data, as well as, a question concerning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Artur A. Sahakyan

Asymptotic goodness-of-fit methods in contingency table analysis can struggle with sparse data, especially in multi-way tables where it can be infeasible to meet sample size requirements for a robust application of distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Shishir Agrawal , Luis David Garcia Puente , Minho Kim , Flavia Sancier-Barbosa

We propose an asymptotic framework to analyze the performance of (personalized) federated learning algorithms. In this new framework, we formulate federated learning as a multi-criterion objective, where the goal is to minimize each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Gary Cheng , Karan Chadha , John Duchi

The functional delta-method has a wide range of applications in statistics. Applications on functionals of empirical processes yield various limit results for classical statistics. To improve the finite sample properties of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-21 Merle Munko , Dennis Dobler

It is well-known that trimmed sample means are robust against heavy tails and data contamination. This paper analyzes the performance of trimmed means and related methods in two novel contexts. The first one consists of estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Roberto I. Oliveira , Lucas Resende

Tau functions expressed as fermionic expectation values are shown to provide a natural and straightforward description of a number of random processes and statistical models involving hard core configurations of identical particles on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-06-26 John Harnad , Alexander Yu. Orlov

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

Estimation and inference with modern longitudinal data from wearable devices, which consist of biological signals at high-frequency time points, is burdened by massive computational costs. We propose a distributed estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Emily C. Hector

Recent work has suggested that in highly correlated systems, such as sandpiles, turbulent fluids, ignited trees in forest fires and magnetization in a ferromagnet close to a critical point, the probability distribution of a global quantity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sandra Chapman , George Rowlands , Nicholas Watkins

A classical fact of the theory of almost periodic functions is the existence of their asymptotic distributions. In probabilistic terms, this means that if $f$ is a Besicovitch almost periodic function and $V$ is a random variable uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Alexander Iksanov , Zakhar Kabluchko , Alexander Marynych

Posterior tempering reduces the influence of the likelihood in the calculation of the posterior by raising the likelihood to a fractional power $\alpha$. The resulting power posterior - also known as an $\alpha$-posterior or fractional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Ruchira Ray , Marco Avella Medina , Cynthia Rush

Sparse functional/longitudinal data have attracted widespread interest due to the prevalence of such data in social and life sciences. A prominent scenario where such data are routinely encountered are accelerated longitudinal studies,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-24 Yidong Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-09 Constantino A. García , Abraham Otero , Paulo Félix , Jesús Presedo , David G. Márquez
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