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Deep neural networks have emerged as the workhorse for a large section of robotics and control applications, especially as models for dynamical systems. Such data-driven models are in turn used for designing and verifying autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Kaustubh Sridhar , Souradeep Dutta , James Weimer , Insup Lee

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We address the reachability problem for continuous-time stochastic dynamic systems. Our objective is to present a unified framework that characterizes the reachable set of a dynamic system in the presence of both stochastic disturbances and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-04 Saber Jafarpour , Zishun Liu , Yongxin Chen

When one observes a sequence of variables $(x_1, y_1), \ldots, (x_n, y_n)$, Conformal Prediction (CP) is a methodology that allows to estimate a confidence set for $y_{n+1}$ given $x_{n+1}$ by merely assuming that the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye

Perception-based neural network controllers are increasingly used in autonomous systems that rely on visual inputs to operate in the real world. Ensuring the safety of such systems under uncertainty is challenging. Existing verification…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Alexander Estornell , Leonard Jung , Michael Everett

This paper over-approximates the reachable sets of a continuous-time uncertain system using the sensitivity of its trajectories with respect to initial conditions and uncertain parameters. We first prove the equivalence between an existing…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pierre-Jean Meyer , Samuel Coogan , Murat Arcak

Safety assurance is a critical yet challenging aspect when developing self-driving technologies. Hamilton-Jacobi backward-reachability analysis is a formal verification tool for verifying the safety of dynamic systems in the presence of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Ran Tian , Anjian Li , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Liting Sun

Safety assurance is a fundamental requirement for deploying learning-enabled autonomous systems. Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) reachability analysis is a fundamental method for formally verifying safety and generating safe controllers. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Ihab Tabbara , Yuxuan Yang , Hussein Sibai

We consider the problem of predictive monitoring (PM), i.e., predicting at runtime future violations of a system from the current state. We work under the most realistic settings where only partial and noisy observations of the state are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Nicola Paoletti

Surrogate models (including deep neural networks and other machine learning algorithms in supervised learning) are capable of approximating arbitrarily complex, high-dimensional input-output problems in science and engineering, but require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Miguel Sánchez-Domínguez , Lucas Lacasa , Javier de Vicente , Gonzalo Rubio , Eusebio Valero

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a statistical framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees. While CP yields uncontrolled prediction set sizes, Backward Conformal Prediction (BCP)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Junxian Liu , Hao Zeng , Hongxin Wei

Conformal prediction (CP) generates a set of predictions for a given test sample such that the prediction set almost always contains the true label (e.g., 99.5\% of the time). CP provides comprehensive predictions on possible labels of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Yizhe Zhang , Shuo Wang , Yejia Zhang , Danny Z. Chen

Risk assessment is a crucial component of collision warning and avoidance systems in intelligent vehicles. To accurately detect potential vehicle collisions, reachability-based formal approaches have been developed to ensure driving safety,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Xinwei Wang , Zirui Li , Javier Alonso-Mora , Meng Wang

Deploying autonomous systems in safety critical settings necessitates methods to verify their safety properties. This is challenging because real-world systems may be subject to disturbances that affect their performance, but are unknown a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Nicholas Rober , Karan Mahesh , Tyler M. Paine , Max L. Greene , Steven Lee , Sildomar T. Monteiro , Michael R. Benjamin , Jonathan P. How

Neural Networks (NNs) can provide major empirical performance improvements for closed-loop systems, but they also introduce challenges in formally analyzing those systems' safety properties. In particular, this work focuses on estimating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-03 Michael Everett , Golnaz Habibi , Chuangchuang Sun , Jonathan P. How

Safety is an important topic in autonomous driving since any collision may cause serious injury to people and damage to property. Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) Reachability is a formal method that verifies safety in multi-agent interaction and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Anjian Li , Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Mo Chen

Motivated by perception-based control problems in autonomous systems, this paper addresses the problem of developing feedback controllers to regulate the inputs and the states of a dynamical system to optimal solutions of an optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-17 Liliaokeawawa Cothren , Gianluca Bianchin , Sarah Dean , Emiliano Dall'Anese

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

Quantifying uncertainty in automatically generated text is important for letting humans check potential hallucinations and making systems more reliable. Conformal prediction is an attractive framework to provide predictions imbued with…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Dennis Ulmer , Chrysoula Zerva , André F. T. Martins

Semantic segmentation networks (SSNs) are central to safety-critical applications such as medical imaging and autonomous driving, where robustness under uncertainty is essential. However, existing probabilistic verification methods often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Navid Hashemi , Samuel Sasaki , Diego Manzanas Lopez , Lars Lindemann , Ipek Oguz , Meiyi Ma , Taylor T. Johnson