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Conformal Prediction (CP) is a popular framework for constructing prediction bands with valid coverage in finite samples, while being free of any distributional assumption. A well-known limitation of conformal prediction is the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Louis Allain , Sébastien da Veiga , Brian Staber

The requirement for identifying accurate system representations has not only been a challenge to fulfill, but it has compromised the scalability of formal methods, as the resulting models are often too complex for effective decision making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Oliver Schön , Sofie Haesaert , Sadegh Soudjani

Advances in computer vision and machine learning enable robots to perceive their surroundings in powerful new ways, but these perception modules have well-known fragilities. We consider the problem of synthesizing a safe controller that is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Dawei Sun , Negin Musavi , Geir Dullerud , Sanjay Shakkottai , Sayan Mitra

Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) reachability analysis is a widely used method for ensuring the safety of robotic systems. Traditional approaches compute reachable sets by numerically solving an HJ Partial Differential Equation (PDE) over a grid, which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Zeyuan Feng , Le Qiu , Somil Bansal

Safe deployment of deep neural networks in high-stake real-world applications requires theoretically sound uncertainty quantification. Conformal prediction (CP) is a principled framework for uncertainty quantification of deep models in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Subhankar Ghosh , Taha Belkhouja , Yan Yan , Janardhan Rao Doppa

Probabilistic guarantees of safety and performance are important in constrained dynamical systems with stochastic uncertainty. We consider the stochastic reachability problem, which maximizes the probability that the state remains within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Sample average approximation (SAA), a popular method for tractably solving stochastic optimization problems, enjoys strong asymptotic performance guarantees in settings with independent training samples. However, these guarantees are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Yafei Wang , Bo Pan , Wei Tu , Peng Liu , Bei Jiang , Chao Gao , Wei Lu , Shangling Jui , Linglong Kong

We introduce a framework for robust uncertainty quantification in situations where labeled training data are corrupted, through noisy or missing labels. We build on conformal prediction, a statistical tool for generating prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) have been widely utilized in the design of optimization-based controllers and filters for dynamical systems to ensure forward invariance of a given set of safe states. While CBF-based controllers offer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Damola Ajeyemi , Saber Jafarpour , Emiliano Dall'Anese

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

Efficiently handling time-triggered and possibly nondeterministic switches for hybrid systems reachability is a challenging task. In this paper we present an approach based on conservative set-based enclosure of the dynamics that can handle…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-07 Marcelo Forets , Daniel Freire , Christian Schilling

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

We study finite horizon reachable set estimation for unknown discrete-time dynamical systems using only sampled state trajectories. Rather than treating scenario optimization as a black-box tool, we show how it can be tailored to reachable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Georgios Pantazis , Michelle S. Chong

Standard conformal prediction offers a marginal guarantee on coverage, but for prediction sets to be truly useful, they should ideally ensure coverage conditional on each test point. Unfortunately, it is impossible to achieve exact,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Jivat Neet Kaur , Michael I. Jordan , Ahmed Alaa

In system analysis, conformance indicates that two systems simultaneously satisfy the same set of specifications of interest; thus, the results from analyzing one system automatically transfer to the other, or one system can safely replace…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-03 Yu Wang , Mojtaba Zarei , Borzoo Bonakdarpoor , Miroslav Pajic

We study the fundamental tradeoffs between computational tractability and statistical accuracy for a general family of hypothesis testing problems with combinatorial structures. Based upon an oracle model of computation, which captures the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-31 Zhaoran Wang , Quanquan Gu , Han Liu

With the recent surge of interest in using robotics and automation for civil purposes, providing safety and performance guarantees has become extremely important. In the past, differential games have been successfully used for the analysis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-24 Mo Chen , Sylvia Herbert , Claire J. Tomlin

Sign-Perturbed Sum (SPS) is a powerful finite-sample system identification algorithm which can construct confidence regions for the true data generating system with exact coverage probabilities, for any finite sample size. SPS was developed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-30 Szabolcs Szentpéteri , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In this work we propose techniques for efficient reachability analysis of the state space (e.g., detection of bad states) using a combination of partial order and symmetry based reductions in a distributed setting. The proposed techniques…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2009-01-05 Janardan Misra , Suman Roy
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