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A mathematical model for estimating the risk of airborne transmission of a respiratory infection such as COVID-19, is presented. The model employs basic concepts from fluid dynamics and incorporates the known scope of factors involved in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Rajat Mittal , Charles Meneveau , Wen Wu

With the exponential growth in the world population and the constant increase in human mobility, the danger of outbreaks of epidemics is rising. Especially in high density urban areas such as public transport and transfer points, where…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-01-04 Mei Shan , Zhou Xuan , Zhu Yifan , Zu Zhenghu , Zheng Tao , A. V. Boukhanovsky , P. M. A Sloot

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has changed our lives and still poses a challenge to science. Numerous studies have contributed to a better understanding of the pandemic. In particular, inhalation of aerosolised pathogens has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-02 Simon Rahn , Marion Gödel , Gerta Köster , Gesine Hofinger

The risk of long range, herein `airborne', infection needs to be better understood and is especially urgent during the current COVID-19 pandemic. We present a method to determine the relative risk of airborne transmission that can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-24 Henry C. Burridge , Shiwei Fan , Roderic L. Jones , Catherine J. Noakes , P. F. Linden

This study investigates the spatial integration of agent-based models (ABMs) and compartmental models for infectious disease modeling, presenting a novel hybrid approach and examining its implications. ABMs offer detailed insights by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-06 Inan Bostanci , Tim Conrad

Airborne pathogen transmission mechanisms play a key role in the spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19. In this work, we propose a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) approach to model and statistically characterize airborne…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-07 Fatih Gulec , Falko Dressler , Andrew W. Eckford

Emerging infectious diseases and climate change are two of the major challenges in 21st century. Although over the past decades, highly-resolved mathematical models have contributed in understanding dynamics of infectious diseases and are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-13 Julia Bicker , René Schmieding , Michael Meyer-Hermann , Martin J. Kühn

Coupling within-host infection dynamics with population-level transmission remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling, especially for airborne pathogens with potential to spread indoor. The frequent emergence of such diseases…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Andrew Omame , Sarafa Iyaniwura

This study employs computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations to evaluate the risk of airborne transmission of COVID-19 in low-ceiling rooms, such as elevator cabins, under mechanical displacement ventilation. The simulations take into…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-01-18 Changchang Wang , Jiarong Hong

Airborne transmission is now believed to be the primary way that COVID-19 spreads. We study the airborne transmission risk associated with holding in-person classes on university campuses. We utilize a model for airborne transmission risk…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Arvin Hekmati , Mitul Luhar , Bhaskar Krishnamachari , Maja Matarić

Airborne pandemics have caused millions of deaths worldwide, large-scale economic losses, and catastrophic sociological shifts in human history. Researchers have developed multiple mathematical models and computational frameworks to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Teddy Lazebnik , Ariel Alexi

A numerical framework for the 'real-time' estimation of the infection risk from airborne diseases (e.g., SARS-CoV-2) in indoor spaces such as hospitals, restaurants, cinemas or teaching rooms is proposed. The developed model is based on the…

We develop a spatially dependent generalisation to the Wells-Riley model and its extensions applied to COVID-19, that determines the infection risk due to airborne transmission of viruses. We assume that the concentration of infectious…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Zechariah Lau , Ian M. Griffiths , Aaron English , Katerina Kaouri

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

We study viral transmission in crowds via the short-ranged airborne pathway using a purely model-based approach. Our goal is two-pronged. Firstly, we illustrate with a concrete and pedagogical case study how to estimate the risks of new…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Alexandre Nicolas , Simon Mendez

The lack of quantitative risk assessment of airborne transmission of COVID-19 under practical settings leads to large uncertainties and inconsistencies in our preventive measures. Combining in situ measurements and numerical simulations, we…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-07-27 Siyao Shao , Dezhi Zhou , Ruichen He , Jiaqi Li , Shufan Zou , Kevin Mallery , Santosh Kumar , Suo Yang , Jiarong Hong

Airborne viruses, such as influenza, tuberculosis, and SARS-CoV-2, are transmitted through virus-laden particles expelled when an infectious person sneezes, coughs, talks, or breathes. These virus-laden particles are more highly…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-07-25 Laura Fierce , Alison Robey , Cathrine Hamilton

Airborne infection risk analysis is usually performed for enclosed spaces where susceptible individuals are exposed to infectious airborne respiratory droplets by inhalation. It is usually based on exponential, dose-response models of which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-01 Yannis Drossinos , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

The Covid-19 pandemic has taken millions of lives, demonstrating the tragedy and disruption of respiratory diseases, and how difficult they can be to manage. However, there is still significant debate in the scientific community as to which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Panagiotis Demis , Ishanki De Mel , Hayley Wragg , Michael Short , Oleksiy V. Klymenko

Partial differential equation (PDE) models for infectious disease have received renewed interest in recent years. Most models of this type extend classical compartmental formulations with additional terms accounting for spatial dynamics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-29 Pierluigi Colli , Gabriela Marinoschi , Elisabetta Rocca , Alex Viguerie
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