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Understanding infectious disease transmission in institutional settings requires models that capture how contacts arise from structured routines, roles, and spatial constraints. In aged care facilities, interactions are driven by care…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-19 Haley Stone , C. Raina MacIntyre , Mohana Kunasekaran , Chris Poulos , David Heslop

Infectious disease spread is a multi-scale process composed of within-host (biological) and between-host (social) drivers and disentangling them from each other is a central challenge in epidemiology. Here, we introduce VIBES, a multi-scale…

Epidemiological simulations as a method are used to better understand and predict the spreading of infectious diseases, for example of COVID-19. This paper presents an approach that combines person-centric data-driven human mobility…

Current models of COVID-19 transmission predict infection from reported or assumed interactions. Here we leverage high-resolution observations of interaction to simulate infectious processes. Ultra-Wide Radio Frequency Identification (RFID)…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Yi Zhang , Yudong Tao , Mei-Ling Shyu , Lynn K. Perry , Prem R. Warde , Daniel S. Messinger , Chaoming Song

This research presents an advanced fractional-order compartmental model designed to delve into the complexities of COVID-19 transmission dynamics, specifically accounting for the influence of environmental pathogens on disease spread. By…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-07-09 Moein Khalighi , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Leo Lahti

The recent history of respiratory pathogen epidemics, including those caused by influenza and SARS-CoV-2, has highlighted the urgent need for advanced modeling approaches that can accurately capture heterogeneous disease dynamics and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-07 Prescott C. Alexander , Thomas J. Harris , Joy Kitson , Joseph V. Tuccillo , Sara Y. Del Valle , Timothy C. Germann

Infectious disease transmission in human populations has a complex two-way interaction with changes in host behaviour. It is increasingly recognised that incorporating adaptive behavioural change into epidemic models is important for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-14 Michael J. Plank , Matt Ryan , Lloyd Chapman , Roslyn I. Hickson , Thomas House , Emma McBryde , James M. McCaw

Crowd models can be used for the simulation of people movement in the built environment. Crowd model outputs have been used for evaluating safety and comfort of pedestrians, inform crowd management and perform forensic investigations.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-21 Enrico Ronchi , Ruggiero Lovreglio

This paper investigates the impact of human activity and mobility (HAM) in the spreading dynamics of an epidemic. Specifically, it explores the interconnections between HAM and its effect on the early spread of the COVID-19 virus. During…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-06 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Chinwendu Enyioha , Suddhasattwa Das

Epidemiological compartmental models are useful for understanding infectious disease propagation and directing public health policy decisions. Calibration of these models is an important step in offering accurate forecasts of disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Nikunj Gupta , Anh Mai , Azza Abouzied , Dennis Shasha

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, manage sparse data, incorporate latent structures, and address high-dimensional parameter spaces. However, parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Xiahui Li , Fergus Chadwick , Ben Swallow

Diffusion processes in networks are increasingly used to model the spread of information and social influence. In several applications in computational sustainability such as the spread of wildlife, infectious diseases and traffic mobility…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Akshat Kumar , Daniel Sheldon , Biplav Srivastava

The challenges posed by epidemics and pandemics are immense, especially if the causes are novel. This article introduces a versatile open-source simulation framework designed to model intricate dynamics of infectious diseases across diverse…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Zenin Easa Panthakkalakath , Neeraj , Jimson Mathew

Clinical machine learning models are increasingly trained using large scale, multimodal foundation paradigms, yet deployment environments often differ systematically from the data generating settings used during training. Such shifts arise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yuanyun Zhang , Shi Li

The goal of this article is to analyze some compartmental models specially designed to model the spread of a disease whose transmission has the same features as COVID-19. The major contributions of this article are: (1) Rigorously find…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-01 Gonçalo Oliveira

The course of an epidemic is not only shaped by infection transmission over face-to-face contacts, but also by preventive behaviour caused by risk perception and social interactions. This study explores the dynamics of coupled awareness and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-24 Tim Van Wesemael , Luis E. C. Rocha , Jan M. Baetens

Mechanistic simulators are an indispensable tool for epidemiology to explore the behavior of complex, dynamic infections under varying conditions and navigate uncertain environments. Agent-based models (ABMs) are an increasingly popular…

Mission teams are exposed to the emotional toll of life and death decisions. These are small groups of specially trained people supported by intelligent machines for dealing with stressful environments and scenarios. We developed a…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Peter Shmerko , Yumi Iwashita , Adrian Stoica , Svetlana Yanushkevich

Although federated learning has achieved many breakthroughs recently, the heterogeneous nature of the learning environment greatly limits its performance and hinders its real-world applications. The heterogeneous data, time-varying wireless…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Jingxin Li , Toktam Mahmoodi , Hak-Keung Lam

Capturing the structured mixing within a population is key to the reliable projection of infectious disease dynamics and hence informed control. Both heterogeneity in the number of contacts and age-structured mixing have been repeatedly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Luke Murray Kearney , Emma L Davis , Matt J Keeling
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