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We consider a population of Bayesian agents who share a common prior over some finite state space and each agent is exposed to some information about the state. We ask which distributions over empirical distributions of posteriors beliefs…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko

We consider the disclosure problem of a sender with a large data set of hard evidence who wants to persuade a receiver to take higher actions. Because the receiver will make inferences based on the distribution of the data they see, the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-03 Ying Gao

We study a model of information aggregation and social learning recently proposed by Jadbabaie, Sandroni, and Tahbaz-Salehi, in which individual agents try to learn a correct state of the world by iteratively updating their beliefs using…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-03-24 Pooya Molavi , Ali Jadbabaie

The Bayesian persuasion paradigm of strategic communication models interaction between a privately-informed agent, called the sender, and an ignorant but rational agent, called the receiver. The goal is typically to design a (near-)optimal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Ronen Gradwohl , Niklas Hahn , Martin Hoefer , Rann Smorodinsky

How do people acquire rich, flexible knowledge about their environment from others despite limited cognitive capacity? Humans are often thought to rely on computationally costly mentalizing, such as inferring others' beliefs. In contrast,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Silja Keßler , Miriam Bautista-Salinero , Claudio Tennie , Charley M. Wu

We frame dynamic persuasion in a partial observation stochastic control Leader-Follower game with an ergodic criterion. The Receiver controls the dynamics of a multidimensional unobserved state process. Information is provided to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-23 René Aïd , Ofelia Bonesini , Giorgia Callegaro , Luciano Campi

Cheng (2025) establishes that in a persuasion game where both the sender and the receiver have Maxmin Expected Utility (MEU) preferences, the sender never strictly benefits from using ambiguous communication strategies over standard…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Xiaoyu Cheng

We discuss Bayesian inference for parameters selected using the data. First, we provide a critical analysis of the existing positions in the literature regarding the correct Bayesian approach under selection. Second, we propose two types of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Daniel G. Rasines , G. Alastair Young

This paper presents a model of costly information acquisition where decision-makers can choose whether to elaborate information superficially or precisely. The former action is costless, while the latter entails a processing cost. Within…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-27 Federico Vaccari

We address the fundamental problem of selection under uncertainty by modeling it from the perspective of Bayesian persuasion. In our model, a decision maker with imperfect information always selects the option with the highest expected…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Siddhartha Banerjee , Kamesh Munagala , Yiheng Shen , Kangning Wang

We study computational questions in a game-theoretic model that, in particular, aims to capture advertising/persuasion applications such as viral marketing. Specifically, we consider a multi-agent Bayesian persuasion model where an informed…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-03-07 Yakov Babichenko , Siddharth Barman

This paper studies information transmission from multiple senders who compete for the attention of a decision maker. Each sender is partially informed about the state of the world and decides how to reveal her information over time to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Jan Knoepfle

Classical Bayesian persuasion studies how a sender influences receivers through carefully designed signaling policies within a single strategic interaction. In many real-world environments, such interactions are repeated across multiple…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ata Poyraz Turna , Asrin Efe Yorulmaz , Tamer Başar

Motivated by information sharing in online platforms, we study repeated persuasion between a sender and a stream of receivers where at each time, the sender observes a payoff-relevant state drawn independently and identically from an…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-06 You Zu , Krishnamurthy Iyer , Haifeng Xu

This paper studies a communication game between an uninformed decision maker and two perfectly informed senders with conflicting interests. Senders can misreport information at a cost that increases with the size of the misrepresentation.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-17 Federico Vaccari

A powerful feature in mechanism design is the ability to irrevocably commit to the rules of a mechanism. Commitment is achieved by public declaration, which enables players to verify incentive properties in advance and the outcome in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-08 Ran Canetti , Amos Fiat , Yannai A. Gonczarowski

We study Bayesian persuasion under approximate best response, where the receiver may choose any action that is not too much suboptimal given their posterior belief upon receiving the signal. We focus on the computational aspects of the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Kunhe Yang , Hanrui Zhang

Background: Confirmation bias is the tendency to acquire or evaluate new information in a way that is consistent with one's preexisting beliefs. It is omnipresent in psychology, economics, and even scientific practices. Prior theoretical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

As one of the classic models that describe the belief dynamics over social networks, a non-Bayesian social learning model assumes that members in the network possess accurate signal knowledge through the process of Bayesian inference. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Sannyuya Liu , Zhonghua Yan , Xiufeng Cheng , Liang Zhao

Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo
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