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Wildfire prediction has become increasingly crucial due to the escalating impacts of climate change. Traditional CNN-based wildfire prediction models struggle with handling missing oceanic data and addressing the long-range dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Dayou Chen , Sibo Cheng , Jinwei Hu , Matthew Kasoar , Rossella Arcucci

Accurately predicting water table dynamics is vital for sustaining groundwater resources that support ecological functions and anthropogenic activities. This study evaluates a statistical model (BigVAR) that handles three major…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-03 Alokesh Manna , Sushant Mehan , Devendra M. Amatya

This article delves into the analysis of performance and utilization of Support Vector Machines (SVMs) for the critical task of forest fire detection using image datasets. With the increasing threat of forest fires to ecosystems and human…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-11 Ankan Kar , Nirjhar Nath , Utpalraj Kemprai , Aman

Wildfire evacuation behavior is highly variable and influenced by complex interactions among household resources, preparedness, and situational cues. Using a large-scale MTurk survey of residents in California, Colorado, and Oregon, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Sazzad Bin Bashar Polock , Anandi Dutta , Subasish Das

Forest wildfires represent one of the catastrophic events that, over the last decades, caused huge environmental and humanitarian damages. In addition to a significant amount of carbon dioxide emission, they are a source of risk to society…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Daniele Rege Cambrin , Luca Colomba , Paolo Garza

This study introduces a deep learning-based framework for forecasting weather-related traffic crash risk using heterogeneous spatiotemporal data. Given the complex, non-linear relationship between crash occurrence and factors such as road…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-06 Abimbola Ogungbire , Srinivas Pulugurtha

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time…

Risk management in many environmental settings requires an understanding of the mechanisms that drive extreme events. Useful metrics for quantifying such risk are extreme quantiles of response variables conditioned on predictor variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Climate change has increased the intensity, frequency, and duration of extreme weather events and natural disasters across the world. While the increased data on natural disasters improves the scope of machine learning (ML) in this field,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-22 Adiba Mahbub Proma , Md Saiful Islam , Stela Ciko , Raiyan Abdul Baten , Ehsan Hoque

Rapid detection and well-timed intervention are essential to mitigate the impacts of wildfires. Leveraging remote sensed data from satellite networks and advanced AI models to automatically detect hotspots (i.e., thermal anomalies caused by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Luca Barco , Angelica Urbanelli , Claudio Rossi

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

We propose a Bayesian stochastic cellular automata modeling approach to model the spread of wildfires with uncertainty quantification. The model considers a dynamic neighborhood structure that allows neighbor states to inform transition…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-07 Nicholas Grieshop , Christopher K. Wikle

Understanding the future climate is crucial for informed policy decisions on climate change prevention and mitigation. Earth system models play an important role in predicting future climate, requiring accurate representation of complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Christian Reimers , David Hafezi Rachti , Guahua Liu , Alexander J. Winkler

Climate change has resulted in a year over year increase in adverse weather and weather conditions which contribute to increasingly severe fire seasons. Without effective mitigation, these fires pose a threat to life, property, ecology,…

Simultaneous concurrence of extreme values across multiple climate variables can result in large societal and environmental impacts. Therefore, there is growing interest in understanding these concurrent extremes. In many applications, not…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Whitney K. Huang , Adam H. Monahan , Francis W. Zwiers

Wildfires pose an increasingly severe threat to air quality, yet quantifying their causal impact remains challenging due to unmeasured meteorological and geographic confounders. Moreover, wildfire impacts on air quality may exhibit…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-19 Zipei Geng , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser , Marc G. Genton

Forecasting weather and climate events is crucial for making appropriate measures to mitigate environmental hazards and minimize losses. However, existing environmental forecasting research focuses narrowly on predicting numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Haobo Li , Zhaowei Wang , Jiachen Wang , Yueya Wang , Alexis Kai Hon Lau , Huamin Qu

In recent decades, wildfires, as widespread and extremely destructive natural disasters, have caused tremendous property losses and fatalities, as well as extensive damage to forest ecosystems. Many fire risk assessment projects have been…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Shuchang Shen , Sachith Seneviratne , Xinye Wanyan , Michael Kirley

Wildfires significantly impact natural ecosystems and human health, leading to biodiversity loss, increased hydrogeological risks, and elevated emissions of toxic substances. Climate change exacerbates these effects, particularly in regions…

Factor analysis acts a pivotal role in enhancing maritime safety. Most previous studies conduct factor analysis within the framework of incident-related label prediction, where the developed models can be categorized into short-term and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Tianyi Chen , Hua Wang , Yutong Cai , Maohan Liang , Qiang Meng