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The critical need for sophisticated detection techniques has been highlighted by the rising frequency and intensity of wildfires in the US, especially in California. In 2023, wildfires caused 130 deaths nationwide, the highest since 1990.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Gowtham Raj Vuppari , Navarun Gupta , Ahmed El-Sayed , Xingguo Xiong

Climate change is expected to intensify and increase extreme events in the weather cycle. Since this has a significant impact on various sectors of our life, recent works are concerned with identifying and predicting such extreme events…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Mohamad Hakam Shams Eddin , Ribana Roscher , Juergen Gall

Carbon offset programs are critical in the fight against climate change. One emerging threat to the long-term stability and viability of forest carbon offset projects is wildfires, which can release large amounts of carbon and limit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-05 Tristan Ballard , Matthew Cooper , Chris Lowrie , Gopal Erinjippurath

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Accurate trajectory prediction of vehicles at roundabouts is critical for reducing traffic accidents, yet it remains highly challenging due to their circular road geometry, continuous merging and yielding interactions, and absence of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Xiaotong Zhou , Zhenhui Yuan , Yi Han , Tianhua Xu , Laurence T. Yang

The study of post-wildfire plant regrowth is essential for developing successful ecosystem recovery strategies. Prior research mainly examines key ecological and biogeographical factors influencing post-fire succession. This research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Jiahe Liu , Xiaodi Wang

Global wildfire models play a crucial role in anticipating and responding to changing wildfire regimes. JULES-INFERNO is a global vegetation and fire model simulating wildfire emissions and area burnt on a global scale. However, because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Sibo Cheng , Hector Chassagnon , Matthew Kasoar , Yike Guo , Rossella Arcucci

In recent environmental studies extreme events have a great impact. The yearly and monthly maxima of environment related indices can be analysed by the tools of extreme value theory. For instance, the monthly maxima of the fire weather…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-20 László Németh , Zuzana Hübnerová , András Zempléni

Building fires pose a persistent threat to life, property, and infrastructure, emphasizing the need for advanced risk mitigation strategies. This study presents a data-driven framework analyzing U.S. fire risks by integrating over one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Chenzhi Ma , Hongru Du , Shengzhi Luan , Ensheng Dong , Lauren M. Gardner , Thomas Gernay

Wildfire smoke is transparent, amorphous, and often visually confounded with clouds, making early-stage detection particularly challenging. In this work, we introduce a benchmark, called SmokeBench, to evaluate the ability of multimodal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Tianye Qi , Weihao Li , Nick Barnes

Wildfire monitoring requires timely, actionable situational awareness from airborne platforms, yet existing aerial visual question answering (VQA) benchmarks do not evaluate wildfire-specific multimodal reasoning grounded in thermal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Mobin Habibpour , Niloufar Alipour Talemi , John Spodnik , Camren J. Khoury , Fatemeh Afghah

High-altitude, multi-spectral, aerial imagery is scarce and expensive to acquire, yet it is necessary for algorithmic advances and application of machine learning models to high-impact problems such as wildfire detection. We introduce a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Yajvan Ravan , Aref Malek , Chester Dolph , Nikhil Behari

Recent wildfires in Australia have led to considerable economic loss and property destruction, and there is increasing concern that climate change may exacerbate their intensity, duration, and frequency. Hazard quantification for extreme…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-12 Daniela Cisneros , Jordan Richards , Ashok Dahal , Luigi Lombardo , Raphaël Huser

Since frequent severe droughts are lengthening the dry season in the Amazon Rainforest, it is important to detect wildfires promptly and forecast possible spread for effective suppression response. Current wildfire detection models are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Christopher Sun

Accurate next-day active fire forecasts can support early warning, disaster response, forest risk assessment, and downstream estimation of fire-related carbon emissions. Existing machine learning approaches to wildfire forecasting typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuchen Bai , Georgios Athanasiou , Xin Yu , Diogenis Antonopoulos , Ioannis Papoutsis , Stijn Hantson , Nuno Carvalhais

Predicting the extent of massive wildfires once ignited is essential to reduce the subsequent socioeconomic losses and environmental damage, but challenging because of the complexity of fire behaviour. Existing physics-based models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Bo Pang , Sibo Cheng , Yuhan Huang , Yufang Jin , Yike Guo , I. Colin Prentice , Sandy P. Harrison , Rossella Arcucci

Understanding differences between sub-stellar spectral data and models has proven to be a major challenge, especially for self-consistent model grids that are necessary for a thorough investigation of brown dwarf atmospheres. Using the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-07 Anna Lueber , Daniel Kitzmann , Chloe E. Fisher , Brendan P. Bowler , Adam J. Burgasser , Mark Marley , Kevin Heng

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser

Modern fire management systems increasingly rely on satellite data and weather forecasting; however, access to comprehensive datasets remains limited due to proprietary restrictions. Despite the ecological significance of wildfires,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Boris Kriuk

The Burning Index (BI) produced daily by the United States government's National Fire Danger Rating System is commonly used in forecasting the hazard of wildfire activity in the United States. However, recent evaluations have shown the BI…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-04 Haiyong Xu , Frederic Paik Schoenberg